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2003 COMMENTS

Click on the title below to be taken to the appropriate commentary.

11 in a Row, There's More to Go (?)

12/29/03 9:33pm EST

The incredible streak of higher lows we've seen in the S&P has historically been positive, and we're now seeing a nearly complete absence of selling pressure.

 

Speculation vs. Seasonality

12/23/03 8:12pm EST

The seasonality is now extremely positive and very consistent, but Rydex traders have finally jumped on the bandwagon to some degree.

 

What's Special About Specialists

12/21/03 10:00am EST

Specialist shorting is at an historic low point, and there is (finally) some hesitancy shown by Rydex traders.  Coupled with positive seasonality, downside looks limited.

 

Where'd the Puts Go?

12/17/03 8:30pm EST

We're still not seeing enough excessive optimism short-term to look for a turn-back on new highs, but the put/call data is very troubling.

 

New Highs and Oversold?

12/15/03 9:15pm EST

This is one of the few times in history where the S&P is hitting new 60-day highs yet is closer to oversold than overbought.

 

The Running of the Bulls

12/11/03 9:15pm EST

There continue to be some positive signs for the bulls, but with mass media picking coverage on the market, watch out for too much enthusiasm on new highs.

 

Juice Above 1060

12/09/03 8:50pm EST

We have enough short-term pessimism going that a drop below and reversal back above 1060 could give longs a little juice.

 

Hard to Short Above 1060

12/07/03 10:20am EST

As long as we hold the 1060 level on S&P cash, these mild oversold readings could lead to short-term rally.

 

Reversals That Aren't

12/03/03 8:50pm EST

A history of these types of reversals is inconclusive.

 

Back to Overbought

12/01/03 10:00pm EST

What was oversold in the last comment is now overbought.

 

Almost Ready for a Bounce

11/20/03 11:42pm EST

Some of our shorter-term measures are suggesting that a bit more downside action should set up for a long trade.

 

Need to Relieve the "Pressure"

11/18/03 9:00pm EST

Our Down Pressure reading on the Nasdaq 100 is one of the highest of any seen over the past year.

 

Stuck in Neutral

11/16/03 11:00am EST

While the uptrend is still intact, behavior from some of the traders usually the most wrong on market direction has to be considered very troubling.

 

No Need to Worry

11/12/03 11:50pm EST

The market is doing what it needs to do to keep the uptrend intact.

 

Look Long at 1040 on the S&P

11/10/03 8:50pm EST

If we approach the 1040 level on the S&P, we should see a nice rebound soon afterward.

 

Highs Should Fail

11/02/03 10:50am EST

It's difficult to justify short positions right now, but any push to new highs should be quickly fought back.

 

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