Home > Report Archive > 2014                       Not receiving these reports via email?  Update your address via the My Account link, or notify us if there is an issue.



2015 Report Archive






Click here to leave a comment



Bulls Remain Optimistic While Stocks Correct

January 30, 2015


According to Investor's Intelligence, newsletter writers are still highly optimistic despite two straight monthly declines from a 12-month high in the S&P 500



Tags:  Indicators


Federal Reserve Gives Economy A "Solid"

January 29, 2015


The FOMC policy statement upgraded the US economy to "solid" for the first time since October 2007; we look at "solid" and "weak" mentions in their statements



Tags:  Fed


Heavy Selling During A Bull Market

January 28, 2015


Selling interest was heavy on the NYSE, as the Arms Index (TRIN) soared above 3, a rare feat during a bull market



Tags:  Indicators, Breadth


Traders Keep Dumping S&P 500 Shares

January 27, 2015


Traders in the major S&P 500 exchange-traded funds, SPY, SSO, IVV and VOO, have left, leading to an outflow of more than $20 billion in the past three weeks



Tags:  Indicators, Cash


Bond Volatility Trumps Stocks'

January 26, 2015


Volatility in the bond market has remained high, despite rising prices there, while stock volatility has declined, prompting an extreme in the MOVE / VIX Ratio



Tags:  Volatility, Indicators


Ag And Soft Contracts Collapse

January 23, 2015


Like some other commodities, grains and other soft contracts have collapsed, and the latest "buy" signals have failed to lead to any kind of positive price action



Tags:  Commodities


A Plethora Of 1% Moves

January 22, 2015


The S&P 500 fund, SPY, has moved 1% every day for the past three weeks, an unusually persistent stretch of volatility so soon after a 52-week high



Tags:  Volatility


Stock Returns Vs "Fear" Correlation

January 21, 2015


Stocks and volatility usually move in opposite directions, but when they travel in the same direction, and stocks are near a high, then it often pays to worry



Tags:  Volatility, Indicators


Rig Count Lags Crude Oil Badly

January 20, 2015


The count of active crude oil wells has declined 15% over the past six weeks, but crude oil leads the rig count by months, and suggests oil may be near an inflection point



Tags:  Commodities


Wall Street Analysts Are Downgrading

January 16, 2015


Wall Street analysts have been busy downgrading prospects for companies in the S&P 500, both in terms of their earnings estimates and price targets



Tags:  Indicators


Arms Index (TRIN) Shows Persistent Selling Pressure

January 15, 2015


A popular measure of market breadth has been showing more selling than buying pressure almost every day since late December



Tags:  Indicators, Breadth


Strategists Consider S&P 500 Undervalued

January 14, 2015


Wall Street strategists have a consensus price target more than 11% above the S&P 500's current level; stocks have often bottomed when that gets closer to 20%



Tags:  Indicators


Diverging Opinions On The Dollar

January 13, 2015


US dollar smart money hedgers are net short at a record degree, at the same time that Rydex fund traders are nearing a record long



Tags:  Commodities



Volatility Spikes Are Getting More Common

January 12, 2015


Volatility spikes have increased more than during any other stretch of this bull market, similar to 1999 and 2007



Tags:  Volatility, Indicators


Futures Traders Heading For The Exit

January 9, 2015


Smart Money hedgers in index futures have moved to an extreme short position



Tags:  Indicators


Everybody (?) Is Bullish

January 8, 2015


Smart Money and Dumb Money Confidence is both in extremely optimistic territory, second only to late 2003 / early 2004



Tags:  Indicators


A Cluster Of Despised Omens

January 7, 2015


A cluster of Hindenburg Omen signals have triggered, one of the most concentrated in 50 years



Tags:  Technicals, Breadth


Failure Is Sometimes An Option

January 6, 2015


The Russell 2000 small-cap index has suffered a failed breakout from a 52-week high



Tags:  Technicals, Volatility


Mom And Pop Embrace Stocks, Shun Cash

January 5, 2015


Individual investors, via the AAII survey, show the widest spread between stock and cash exposure since 2000



Tags:  Indicators, Cash


Cash Continues To Be Scarce

January 2, 2015


Cash on the sidelines has dwindled, and while it preceded several important stock peaks, its lead time was inconsistent



Tags:  Cash


 (go to top)   





Getting Started   -   FAQs   -   Update Account  -   Contact Us   -   Logout


2001-2015 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.  All rights reserved.  Disclaimer  |  Privacy Policy