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Previous years: [ 2010 ] [ 2009 ] [ 2008 ] [ 2007 ] [ 2006 ] [2005] [2004] [2003] [2002]
2010 COMMENTS Jump to month: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
07/23/10......Morning Report The 4-week AAII Ratio has dropped to an extreme (for a bull market)
07/22/10......Morning Report Wall Street strategists moved to a one-year high in stocks as they fell
07/21/10......Morning Report Sentiment on the Japanese Yen is overly optimistic...a positive for the S&P
07/20/10......Morning Report With a choppy market and conflicting extremes, there isn't much edge
07/19/10......Morning Report Extremely low Up Volume after a rally has been short-term bullish
07/16/10......Morning Report A new all-time high NYSE TICK means short-term buying exhaustion
07/15/10......Morning Report Newsletter writers become more bearish; AAII Bull Ratio jumps
07/14/10......Morning Report NYSE Up Volume has shifted from oversold to overbought; Intel gaps
07/13/10......Morning Report Intel earnings as a bellwether when stocks are not near a price extreme
07/12/10......Morning Report S&P Down Pressure near an 8-year extreme low
07/09/10......Morning Report Upside follow-through from a multi-month low
07/08/10......Morning Report Arms Index thrust; AAII pessimism; OTC volume drop
07/07/10......Morning Report Testing the Head & Shoulders pattern; daily Price Oscillator; Rydex traders
07/06/10......Morning Report Almost no Fidelity Select funds have beaten the return on cash
07/02/10......Morning Report The percentage of S&P 500 stocks above the 50-day avg is extremely low
07/01/10......Morning Report The AAII survey of individual investors drops to a notable extreme
06/30/10......Morning Report The Baltic Dry Index as a predictor; the S&P's imminent "death cross"
06/29/10......Morning Report What happens when there's excessive pessimism heading into earnings
06/28/10......Morning Report NDX vs. breadth; weekly bearish engulfing pattern; small option traders
06/25/10......Morning Report Determining if the 150-day moving average is a good measure of trend
06/24/10......Morning Report Looking at the 10-week / 30-week moving average crossover in the S&P
06/23/10......Morning Report What happens when the Arms Index has spiked prior to other FOMC days
06/22/10......Morning Report Monday's price reversal isn't a good predictor; FOMC-day biases
06/21/10......Morning Report China's currency change caused knee-jerk moves similar to last time
06/18/10......Morning Report The McClellan Oscillator has gone from deeply oversold to overbought
06/17/10......Morning Report Bears in the AAII survey have dropped huge despite a tepid stock rally
06/16/10......Morning Report We've now seen five 90% Up Volume days in the past month
06/15/10......Morning Report The market's stuck in a range and our indicators are mostly neutral
06/14/10......Morning Report The ROBO Put/Call Ratio shows small traders betting on the downside
06/11/10......Morning Report The Arms Index hit a historically low level, coming soon after a high one
06/10/10......Morning Report Assets in the inverse S&P fund at Rydex is very high, bull/bear ratio is low
06/09/10......Morning Report A divergence between the SPX vs. NDX and RUT; US Dollar sentiment
06/08/10......Morning Report Nasdaq Arms Index closes above 3 for two days in a row
06/07/10......Morning Report Over-The-Counter volume drops after the May crash
06/04/10......Morning Report One-month changes in AAII allocations; first double up days in a month
06/03/10......Morning Report Up Volume surges, but volatility makes it less useful; AAII allocations
06/02/10......Morning Report Double 1% down days may be bullish, but it's not a huge edge
06/01/10......Morning Report Mutual fund cash levels tick higher; money market assets dip
05/28/10......Morning Report Thrust in Up Issues and Up Volume is bullish; big outflow in equity funds
05/27/10......Morning Report The ADX indicator says end of downtrend is near; AAII; Memorial Day
05/26/10......Morning Report What the Smart Money Index says about early strength, late weakness
05/25/10......Morning Report Dumb Money Confidence drops to a notable level of pessimism
05/24/10......Morning Report Price reversals, Rydex traders and small options traders
05/21/10......Morning Report First close below 200-day average; Int-term Score, other extremes
05/20/10......Intraday Report Recapping a few of the extremes we're seeing today
05/20/10......Morning Report Inverse ETF volume surges; AAII bulls aren't phased by market decline
05/19/10......Morning Report We take a look at earnings off-season following very bad earnings seasons
05/18/10......Morning Report Yale's Buy-On-Dips Confidence shows a big gulf between pros and joes
05/17/10......Morning Report Multiple days with an Up Issues Ratio under 10% during the past month
05/14/10......Morning Report Mutual funds start to see big outflows; Rydex sectors vs. Precious Metals
05/13/10......Morning Report Why the 62% retracement of prior "crashes" has been an important level
05/12/10......Morning Report Rydex traders have abandoned the sector funds; I.I. bullishness drops
05/11/10......Morning Report Breadth thrusts; large gaps up after making a multi-month low
05/10/10......Morning Report A historic McClellan Oscillator reading; erasing two months' worth of gains
05/07/10......Morning Report We take a look at other "shock days" and how the market acted afterward
05/06/10......Morning Report AAII asset allocation shows little change; insider selling hits extreme again
05/05/10......Intraday Report What happens when selling pressure starts to ebb
05/05/10......Intraday Report The latest release from Investor's Intelligence shows an uptick in bulls
05/05/10......Morning Report Penny stock volume increases; a look at Rydex sector assets
05/04/10......Morning Report Watching for a violation of 1180 support on the S&P
05/03/10......Morning Report Buying climaxes reach a 14-year high; small options traders still bullish
04/30/10......Morning Report Big price flip-flops; mutual fund cash levels drop to new record low
04/29/10......Morning Report AAII bulls rise despite a down market; post-FOMC performance
04/28/10......Morning Report Another largest loss in two months; surge in Rydex Nasdaq speculation
04/27/10......Morning Report Total put/call ratio; Rydex Bull Ratio; NYSE New Highs; NYSE Arms Index
04/26/10......Morning Report Barron's Big Money likes stocks, hates T-Bonds and Cash
04/23/10......Morning Report Huge momentum - 31 up days over the past two months
04/22/10......Morning Report Looking at the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day average
04/21/10......Morning Report Historical market reactions to gaps up after Apple earnings reports
04/20/10......Morning Report Apple carries a huge weight in the NDX, and options traders are bullish
04/19/10......Morning Report Small options traders are extremely bullish; large one-day declines
04/16/10......Morning Report The Intermediate-term Indicator Score gives a rare reading
04/15/10......Morning Report We're seeing too many extremes to mention today, but go over a handful
04/14/10......Morning Report The VIX gives a sell signal; how Intel trades after its earnings reports
04/13/10......Morning Report Rydex Banking assets become extreme; Intel earnings as a bellwether
04/12/10......Morning Report The S&P's streak without a 1% down day; options speculation nears high
04/09/10......Morning Report Another look at junk bond issuance; seasonality during tax season
04/08/10......Morning Report When the S&P is at a high into earnings season, it's hard to sustain
04/07/10......Morning Report Smart/Dumb Money Confidence at multi-year extreme; OTC volume rises
04/06/10......Morning Report Put/Call Ratios have reached historical extremes; Rydex sector assets too
04/05/10......Morning Report Active investment managers are extremely long, as are large call buyers
04/01/10......Morning Report The CSFB Fear Barometer is throwing off a very unusual reading
03/31/10......Morning Report Quarter-end seasonality belies the "window dressing" theme
03/30/10......Morning Report Junk bond issuance hits a record; Equity put/call ratio enjoys a rare streak
03/29/10......Morning Report Small options traders lack protection; NDX "smart money" turns bearish
03/26/10......Morning Report Why the S&P 500 intraday reversal isn't necessarily a sign of a top
03/25/10......Morning Report Rydex Nasdaq Bull/Bear Ratio spikes higher; AAII "wall of worry"
03/24/10......Morning Report More than 80% of Rydex sector funds are enjoying above-average assets
03/22/10......Morning Report A temporary end to the momentum; ROBO put/call ratio; Crude Oil
03/19/10......Morning Report Investment managers jump on board the rally; so do Rydex traders
03/18/10......Morning Report New highs surge to 20% of total issues; Dumb Money rises above 70%
03/17/10......Morning Report S&P has gone 15 days w/o a 0.25% loss; put/call ratios suggest a pause
03/16/10......Morning Report The VIX is at an 80% premium to historical volatility; FOMC days intraday
03/15/10......Morning Report Options Speculation Index surges to the highest level since spring of 2000
03/12/10......Morning Report Up Volume is historically overbought; STEM.MR oversold in an up market
03/11/10......Morning Report S&P 500 is up for 9 straight days; Beta Chases suggests a rest for risk
03/10/10......Morning Report Put/call ratios hit a one-day extreme; British Pound sentiment is terrible
03/09/10......Morning Report Looking at the one-year change in mutual fund cash levels
03/08/10......Morning Report The small-cap Russell 2000 index has been up 16 out of 18 days
03/05/10......Morning Report Rydex traders go huge into inverse funds; Payroll report tendencies
03/04/10......Morning Report Insider selling in the NDX; AAII bearish %; Rydex Value vs. Growth
03/03/10......Morning Report The VIX has dropped 14 out of 15 days...that's a new all-time record
03/02/10......Morning Report When the advance/decline line hits a new high and the S&P 500 doesn't
03/01/10......Morning Report Consumer Confidence plunges; small traders reduce speculative buying
02/26/10......Morning Report Individual investors are the most neutral in four years; equity p/c ratio
02/25/10......Morning Report What happens when the Russell 2000 breaks a 9-day up streak
02/24/10......Morning Report Rydex Enthusiasm Index and pessimistic sentiment on the Swiss Franc
02/23/10......Morning Report A look at Fed Chairmans' Humphrey Hawkins testimony
02/22/10......Morning Report Extreme short-term momentum after oversold readings is inconclusive
02/19/10......Morning Report What happens in stocks, bonds and commodities after first rate hike
02/18/10......Morning Report The percentage of S&P 500 stocks above their 10- and 50-day averages
02/17/10......Morning Report A spike in short-term overbought readings usually leads to a lapse
02/16/10......Morning Report Small options traders and investment managers decrease their bullishness
02/12/10......Morning Report Penny stock volume shows no sign of excessive speculation
02/11/10......Morning Report Investor's Intelligence correction % may be more "smart" money than not
02/10/10......Morning Report Rydex breadth indicator has reached oversold
02/09/10......Morning Report Rydex sector assets; performance around Humphrey Hawkins testimony
02/08/10......Morning Report Small options traders still not grabbing protection; S&P reversal days
02/05/10......Morning Report Looking at failures of double 1% up days from a low
02/04/10......Intraday Report What happens when the S&P drops 2% ahead of Nonfarm Payroll report
02/04/10......Morning Report Individual investors have reduced their equity exposure in favor of bonds
02/03/10......Morning Report Short-term follow-through from the 1% up days is a key tell
02/02/10......Research Report Why consecutive 1% up days after a low doesn't always mean a bottom
02/02/10......Morning Report Yesterday's bounce would mark an unlikely bottom
02/01/10......Morning Report A surge in the Intermediate-term Score; oversold McClellan; Wheat futures
01/29/10......Morning Report The VIX / S&P divergence is an inconsistent predictor
01/28/10......Morning Report Individual investors turning more neutral; seasonal pattern is changing
01/27/10......Research Report Newsletter writer optimism shows one of its biggest drops in decades
01/27/10......Morning Report Rydex traders fleeing to the safest funds; Lumber begins a new uptrend
01/26/10......Morning Report The Cumulative TICK dropped to its lowest level in 10 months
01/25/10......Research Report How the market performs surrounding State Of The Union speeches
01/25/10......Morning Report An extreme in the Short-term Score; quick, large declines from a 52-wk hi
01/22/10......Intraday Report Consecutive 10% jumps in the VIX tends to lead to short-term bounces
01/22/10......Morning Report Rydex traders have quickly abandoned the Precious Metals fund
01/21/10......Morning Report A "top spotter" table shows we have few conditions seen at major peaks
01/20/10......Morning Report We take a look at the divergence in a couple of OEX options indicators
01/19/10......Morning Report Small options traders continue to disregard protective puts, but buy calls
01/15/10......Morning Report Intel earnings reports tend to precede multi-week corrections
01/14/10......Morning Report Market performance during earnings season when sentiment is optimistic
01/13/10......Morning Report A VIX sell signal; Rydex traders hit speculative extreme
01/12/10......Morning Report Inverse ETF volume remains extremely low; earnings season predictor
01/11/10......Morning Report Last week traders bought more calls, and less puts, since 2000.
01/08/10......Morning Report The Equity Put/Call Ratio signals caution
01/07/10......Morning Report Individual investors' allocation to stocks surges, and to cash craters
01/06/10......Morning Report Rydex traders go (very) long the NDX; a look at gold sentiment
01/05/10......Research Report We take a look at each months' ability to predict the next 11 months
01/05/10......Morning Report A look at Rydex sector assets; hedgers are extremely net long the Euro
01/04/10......Morning Report The Rydex Beta Chase Index has spiked to a multi-month high
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