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2014 Report Archive

 

JAN  FEB  MAR  APR  MAY  JUN  JUL  AUG  SEP  OCT  NOV  DEC

 

 

April

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04/15/14......Seasonal weakness will arrive in early May, but the worst of it is fairly short-lived and it becomes exceptionally positive this fall

 

04/14/14......The Russell 2000 index of small cap stocks is close to closing below its 200-day average for the first time in years

 

04/11/14......Biotechnology stocks have not been able to rally from extreme pessimism, and have now violated their 200-day average

 

04/10/14......The S&P 500 has suffered 3 declines of more than -1% in the past 7 days, while setting a new 52-week high as well

 

04/09/14......With tax day looming, stocks have usually dropped after big up years, and even more so in the six months following

 

04/08/14......Shares outstanding in short-term VIX funds have jumped in the past two weeks

 

04/07/14......Penny stock transactions jumped higher in March, the highest recorded since October 2007

 

04/04/14......The Nasdaq Composite has closed below its 100-day average for the first time in more than 300 days

 

04/03/14......The S&P 500 is near a high, with Utilities up 2% in the past month, and despite the Nasdaq, down 2% in a negative divergence

 

04/02/14......Fewer than 8% of S&P 500 components closed at a 52-week high along with the index itself

 

04/01/14......Emerging market sentiment rebounds; Canadian dollar pessimism leads to a bear trap

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March

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03/31/14......Growth in the ratio of debt-to-cash in investors' accounts highlights the danger of high margin debt

 

03/28/14......Biotechnology sentiment is pessimistic, and returns should give a heads-up about a bubble; 5-Year Treasury Note sentiment is extreme

 

03/27/14......The Nasdaq 100 has dropped below its 50-day average while the S&P has not, and both are well above their 200-days

 

03/26/14......Covenant-lite loan issuance has exploded during the past month, exceeding anything we've seen in 15 years

 

03/25/14......Cash sitting in "mom and pop" money market funds has dipped to a 30-year low relative to stocks; coffee sentiment backs off extreme

 

03/24/14......Nasdaq vs NYSE exchange volume shows prolonged speculative activity

 

03/21/14......Gold has enjoyed a "golden cross" as its 50-day average rises above the 200-day; copper's smart money looks bullish

 

03/20/14......Worse-than-expected economic data, as shown by the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index, has not put a dent in stocks' rise

 

03/19/14......Sentiment toward Mexican stocks is not as pessimistic as positions in peso futures would suggest

 

03/18/14......We look at the 20 largest non-U.S. companies to list on a U.S. exchange; U.S. dollar sentiment nears a four-year extreme

 

03/17/14......A large share of recent IPOs have been backed by Private Equity and Venture Capital firms

 

03/14/14......Rydex mutual fund traders bought the dip on Thursday, adding long exposure in a down market; gold sentiment nears two-year high

 

03/13/14......Biotechnology firms have been a popular target for IPOs, many of which have been money-losers

 

03/12/14......Assets in inverse funds have plummeted since 2010, and now make up less than 1% of total broad-based ETF assets

 

03/11/14......The value of trading in penny stocks jumped higher on Tuesday due to Fannie and Freddie; coffee sentiment and rate of change

 

03/10/14......Sentiment toward Chinese stocks has not reached the types of extremes seen at other lows in the past five years

 

03/07/14......Nearly 75% of IPOs during the past six months have been money-losers; commodity speculators reach record exposure

 

03/06/14......Penny stock (OTC) trading volume exploded higher in February

 

03/05/14......Traders in the ProShares biotechnology ETFs are showing short-term pessimism as assets flow into the inverse fund

 

03/04/14......The Russell 2000 led a "triple index breakout" with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite; high long-term optimism on British pound

 

03/03/14......Leveraged loan issuance has gone parabolic, as investors give money to the most speculative issues

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February

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02/28/14......Health care stocks gather interest from traders in the ProShares and Rydex funds; COW trouble as speculators jump in

 

02/27/14......Few bears are present among respondents in the AAII and Investor's Intelligence sentiment surveys

 

02/26/14......Small-cap stocks have enjoyed great momentum, with 12 up days out of 14 sessions, and a new 52-week high

 

02/25/14......The Smart Money Index shows early buying and late selling pressure; hog sentiment a warning for COW; coffee sentiment soars

 

02/24/14......The S&P 500 has reversed to a 52-week high within 3 weeks of closing at a 3-month low

 

02/21/14......Investors have returned to E-Trade, with DARTs surging in January; gold and silver sentiment has jumped

 

02/20/14......Traders in penny stocks have been ramping up their speculative activity over the past two weeks

 

02/19/14......Stocks have registered a breadth thrust, as the 10-day Up Issues Ratio has gone from oversold to overbought within two weeks

 

02/18/14......The Nasdaq Composite has climbed 8 days with a 5% gain to a new high, good momentum; gold crosses above 200-day; wheat recovers

 

02/14/14......Gauging the probability of the last two weeks' momentum to continue as the S&P rallies off of an intermediate-term bull market low

 

02/13/14......All but one member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average has closed above its 10-day average, but most haven't eclipsed the 50-day

 

02/12/14......The Dow Jones Industrial Average was the first of four major indexes to peak, while the Nasdaq has held strong

 

02/11/14......Nearly 90% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 10-day average, but fewer than 55% are above their 50-day average

 

02/10/14......Options traders on the VIX have ramped up their put trading, betting on a decline in volatility

 

02/07/14......The S&P 500 put in its best 2-day performance in 3 months, after diving to a 3-month low a few days ago

 

02/06/14......Liquidity in the SPY and QQQ funds have become an attractive feature for investors over the past two weeks

 

02/05/14......Volume in speculative penny stocks skyrocketed in January, normally a warning sign, but much of it was due to one stock

 

02/04/14......Wall Street strategists haven't yet adjusted their year-end consensus price target for the S&P 500, sending it into undervalued territory

 

02/03/14......The S&P has finally suffered a 5% pullback from a multi-year high, and erased three months of gains, all in a short time span

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January

 

01/31/14......Sponsors of inverse ETFs have been on a spree of reverse splits, a ploy to raise share prices

 

01/30/14......Risk Appetite has collapsed over the past two weeks as risk-on switched to risk-off among investors

 

01/29/14......Traders didn't take kindly to the Federal Reserve statement on interest rates, sending the S&P 500 to a 1% loss

 

01/28/14......Fund flows in Indian shares show a clear divergence between institutional versus mom and pop investors

 

01/27/14......Emerging market sentiment has soured, but is still well above pessimistic extremes seen during past years

 

01/24/14......The Dow Jones Transportation Average suffered a 4% decline from a 52-week high, a mark of major peaks in the past

 

01/23/14......Stocks have suffered 10 price rejections from a high over the past year, the most in history

 

01/22/14......According to the Federal Reserve, stresses on the financial system are the lowest in at least 40 years

 

01/21/14......The biotech sector has been outperforming and sentiment is understandably optimistic

 

01/17/14......Buying climaxes in the S&P 500 have surged again

 

01/16/14......Sentiment toward crude oil and energy stocks is near the most pessimistic in a decade

 

01/15/14......With the S&P 500 at a high, there is a negative divergence with the percentage of components above their 50-day and 200-day averages

 

01/14/14......Strategists on Wall Street have upped their S&P 500 price target, but not before the index got historically overvalued in December

 

01/13/14......The S&P's decline from near a high was unusually large

 

01/10/14......The VIX Put/Call Open Interest Ratio is showing many more call options than puts, suggesting a rise in volatility

 

01/09/14......Wall Street analysts have raised price targets on many more stocks than they've lowered

 

01/08/14......The Equity Hedging Index is showing that traders have never had fewer hedges over a four-week period

 

01/07/14......Traders focused in the OTC penny stock market still aren't showing signs of excessive speculation

 

01/06/14......Mutual fund managers focused on value are carrying their lowest stock exposure in at least 14 years

 

01/03/14......The 10-day Total Put/Call Ratio is more than 20% below its 200-day average

 

01/02/14......Dumb Money Confidence has surged in the past few days

 

 

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