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ReadHere are our most-read articles and videos: 1. The Cash Cushion2. IndyMac's Precedents 3. The Unemployment Rate Indicator 4. Rydex Assets Suggest Tech May Pause >> Read all comments ViewedHere are our most-viewed charts: 1. Stock/Bond Ratio2. Equity P/C Detrended 3. Public Opinion - Gold 4. Rydex Bull/Bear Assets 5. Insider Buys/Sells >> View all indicators
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[ 2008 ] [ 2007 ] [ 2006 ] [2005] [2004] [2003] [2002]
Click here to see today's Snapshot
December
12/31/07......Daily Snapshot Note Seasonal forces have held up well, switches back to positive now
12/28/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term guides now starting to shift to oversold
12/27/07......Daily Snapshot Note Overbought conditions win out as selling pressure picks up
12/26/07......Daily Snapshot Note Battle is brewing between overbought vs. seasonality
12/24/07......Daily Snapshot Note Seasonality trumps short-term overbought conditions for now
12/21/07......Daily Snapshot Note Finally we get some upside, and it's enough to get overbought
12/20/07......Daily Snapshot Note Yet another upside intraday reversal sparks hopes of Santa rally
12/19/07......Daily Snapshot Note Indecisive day doesn't resolve much, but still looking for upside
12/18/07......Daily Snapshot Note Early-morning selling pressure sees short-term guides stretched
12/17/07......Daily Snapshot Note Towards the close we finally get some price-based extremes
12/14/07......Daily Snapshot Note Oversold conditions not enough, market drops through support
12/13/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term models are oversold; watch banks for a bounce
12/12/07......Daily Snapshot Note Usually not a good idea to try to chase these big gap opens
12/11/07......Daily Snapshot Note Post-Fed reaction not necessarily a negative going forward
12/10/07......Daily Snapshot Note Confusion over rate cut magnitude should cause more volatility
12/07/07......Daily Snapshot Note Tight range is a bad sign, but FOMC meeting matters more
12/06/07......Daily Snapshot Note Receiving some overbought signals by today's close
12/05/07......Daily Snapshot Note After consolidation, holding the gap up open another good sign
12/04/07......Daily Snapshot Note Nasdaq appears to be setting up well for a rebound
12/03/07......Daily Snapshot Note Still looking for short-term weakness to set up longer-term longs
November
11/30/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term studies suggest maybe a bit more upside, then rest
11/29/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market doing its best to confirm recent low
11/28/07......Daily Snapshot Note Today's up day provides good evidence for longer-term rally
11/27/07......Daily Snapshot Note Lots of folks are looking for the oversold rally, including us
11/26/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term overbought reading led to another nasty decline
11/21/07......Daily Snapshot Note Why several indicators are showing a skewed risk/reward ratio
11/20/07......Daily Snapshot Note Today's reversal helps the bull case, but it is not a panacea
11/19/07......Daily Snapshot Note We should see a turnaround imminently, or concern will build
11/16/07......Daily Snapshot Note Could be a couple more days of selling, but extremes are rising
11/15/07......Daily Snapshot Note A few more positive signs, but short-term still looks dicey
11/14/07......Daily Snapshot Note Risk/reward at the opening gap up tilted back to neutral
11/13/07......Daily Snapshot Note Buyers finally gained that much-needed traction
11/12/07......Daily Snapshot Note Bulls should be showing traction here, but so far not so much
11/09/07......Daily Snapshot Note Last-hour dive calls short-term positives into question
11/08/07......Daily Snapshot Note Mid-afternoon buy signal should help tell us about market health
11/07/07......Daily Snapshot Note Based on the selling pressure, Banks should soon see a bottom
11/06/07......Daily Snapshot Note Markets are not triggering many emotional extremes in this chop
11/05/07......Daily Snapshot Note Brokers have sold off to an historic degree
11/03/07......Long-Term Comment Small options traders have established aggressive long-side bets, and Nasdaq volume has been spiking, but still no "bubble"
11/02/07......Daily Snapshot Note Stiff downside is not triggering many "oversold" readings
11/01/07......Daily Snapshot Note We got the Fed reversal, but not too many oversold signals yet
October
10/31/07......Daily Snapshot Note "Fed reversal" pattern often seen after big post-FOMC moves
10/30/07......Daily Snapshot Note Overbought conditions lead to moderate drift lower ahead of Fed
10/29/07......Daily Snapshot Note Small ranges and overbought conditions highlight pre-Fed day
10/26/07......Daily Snapshot Note A breakout and test of 1520 on the S&P should lead to a rally
10/25/07......Daily Snapshot Note Some short-term positives are beginning to pop up
10/24/07......Daily Snapshot Note It's become difficult to find any kind of edge in this whippy tape
10/23/07......Daily Snapshot Note The bounce may have run its course
10/22/07......Daily Snapshot Note Looking for a bounce based on last week's drop and today's gap
10/19/07......Daily Snapshot Note Anniversary of 1987 crash gives traders pause into the close
10/18/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market not able to respond well to short-term oversold signals
10/17/07......Daily Snapshot Note Trying to chase large gap opens is a very dangerous idea
10/16/07......Daily Snapshot Note Some positives pointing higher for the short-term
10/15/07......Daily Snapshot Note After the early-week selling pressure, we're short-term oversold
10/12/07......Daily Snapshot Note Next-day rebound after yesterday's reversal was in the script
10/11/07......Daily Snapshot Note Gap up in QQQQ suggests intraday reversal a high probability
10/10/07......Daily Snapshot Note I.I. Bulls at one of the highest levels in years
10/09/07......Daily Snapshot Note Major indices are still rallying from even minor oversold levels
10/08/07......Daily Snapshot Note Minor pullback is enough to generate short-term oversold signal
10/05/07......Daily Snapshot Note Large gaps after jobs report tend to reverse in the days following
10/04/07......Daily Snapshot Note Tight ranges form as traders await tomorrow's jobs report
10/03/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term Nasdaq model close to giving buy signal
10/02/07......Daily Snapshot Note Starting to see excessive optimism as questionable month begins
10/01/07......Daily Snapshot Note Breakout over 1540 brings old highs directly into view
September
09/28/07......Daily Snapshot Note Taking a look ahead as seasonal factors wear off
09/27/07......Daily Snapshot Note Looking for weakness as overbought, small range take over
09/26/07......Daily Snapshot Note Wondering if tech can continue to lead market higher
09/25/07......Daily Snapshot Note Reversals from a high are not always bearish, as tech shows
09/24/07......Daily Snapshot Note Post-expiration weakness kicks in as usual
09/21/07......Daily Snapshot Note Oversold conditions lead to small rally; negative seasonal ahead
09/20/07......Daily Snapshot Note Even the mild selling pressure was enough to trigger oversold
09/19/07......Daily Snapshot Note Another gap up open suggests upside likely limited for now
09/18/07......Daily Snapshot Note Volume skew after FOMC decision most positive since 1982 low
09/17/07......Daily Snapshot Note Drifty prices are meaningless ahead of Tuesday's FOMC decision
09/16/07......Long-Term Comment With the Fed easing the discount rate, there is some confusion as to what that means, so we look at history to find out
09/14/07......Daily Snapshot Note Traders not committing ahead of next week's FOMC meeting
09/13/07......Daily Snapshot Note Still think the S&P will stall out ahead of looming Fed decision
09/12/07......Daily Snapshot Note S&P 1480 proves tough resistance as equities hit overbought
09/11/07......Daily Snapshot Note Steady rally brings short-term guides near overbought levels
09/10/07......Daily Snapshot Note Morning selling pressure leads to oversold signals from models
09/07/07......Daily Snapshot Note Inability to hold morning low doused plans for good reversal
09/06/07......Daily Snapshot Note Tomorrow's jobs report likely holds key to the short-term
09/05/07......Daily Snapshot Note Testing the idea of a "market structure high"
09/04/07......Daily Snapshot Note Not much short-term edge as indices continue on their recovery
August
08/31/07......Daily Snapshot Note Even a hint of sympathy from Bernanke should bring up 1480
08/30/07......Daily Snapshot Note Volatile day leaves us little changed
08/29/07......Daily Snapshot Note Back-to-back volume extremes a very rare phenomenon
08/29/07......Long-Term Comment One of the new arguments from those expecting more downside is that higher volatility is bearish, so this comment checks it out
08/28/07......Daily Snapshot Note Buyers' strike leads to several short-term indicator extremes
08/27/07......Daily Snapshot Note Still looking for lower prices as overbought status wears off
08/24/07......Daily Snapshot Note Strong market triggers another round of short-term extremes
08/23/07......Daily Snapshot Note Stocks continue to hold well, but tough to press short-term longs
08/22/07......Daily Snapshot Note Rally to new intraday high implies a change in character
08/21/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market is holding well despite short-term overbought readings
08/20/07......Daily Snapshot Note Watching how market responds to overbought is another clue
08/20/07......Long-Term Comment Ignoring breadth and sentiment for awhile, we take a look at only price and time, to see how unusual this decline has been
08/18/07......Long-Term Comment The last two weeks, and especially the last two days, have brought with them a number of historical moments
08/17/07......Daily Snapshot Note Need to see market hold overbought conditions, not violate low
08/16/07......Daily Snapshot Note T-Bills fly off the shelves as new lows on the NYSE near a record
08/15/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market continues to slice right through oversold readings
08/14/07......Daily Snapshot Note Indices cannot hold short-term gains, now breach panic lows
08/13/07......Daily Snapshot Note An "island reversal" in the VIX is another rare, positive sign
08/10/07......Daily Snapshot Note The first short-term oversold readings emerge this afternoon
08/09/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market follows through on sell signals, not yet oversold
08/08/07......Daily Snapshot Note Sell signals from short-term models suggest looming struggle
08/07/07......Daily Snapshot Note Another big test looming as we become overbought at resistance
08/06/07......Daily Snapshot Note Huge upside thrust brings with it unusual breadth readings
08/03/07......Daily Snapshot Note Break of 1460 calls short-term into question
08/02/07......Daily Snapshot Note Expecting short-term follow-through from yesterday's surge
08/01/07......Daily Snapshot Note Afternoon reversal helps to confirm some bullish precedents
July
07/31/07......Daily Snapshot Note The S&P failed at 1490 as expected, but now we get the big test
07/30/07......Daily Snapshot Note Today's recovery suggests Friday's low has become the big pivot
07/27/07......Daily Snapshot Note Another down day triggers historic breadth extremes
07/26/07......Daily Snapshot Note Breadth skewed to the negative side on an historical scale
07/25/07......Daily Snapshot Note Indicators begin to recover from severe oversold conditions
07/24/07......Daily Snapshot Note By the close, stocks recorded worst oversold readings in years
07/23/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term recovery from questionable oversold readings
07/22/07......Long-Term Comment Among other signs that suggest that the small trader has not embraced the bull, options data tells us otherwise
07/20/07......Daily Snapshot Note Indicators are oversold, but can we trust them?
07/19/07......Daily Snapshot Note Breakout level of 1555 on the S&P still holding sway
07/18/07......Daily Snapshot Note Becoming short-term oversold, but breakout levels will hold key
07/17/07......Daily Snapshot Note Still not interested in chasing prices as seasonality works off
07/16/07......Daily Snapshot Note Looking for more range trading as extremes wear off
07/13/07......Daily Snapshot Note Big breakouts usually get at least one day of follow-through
07/12/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market makes good on short-term buy signals and hits new high
07/11/07......Daily Snapshot Note Waiting for some follow-through on short-term buy signals
07/10/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market makes good on yesterday's sell signal; now oversold
07/09/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term guides giving a weak sell signal as S&P tickles high
07/06/07......Daily Snapshot Note Nasdaq remains overbought, but it's not having an impact
07/05/07......Daily Snapshot Note Overbought conditions and negative seasonality lead to chop
07/03/07......Daily Snapshot Note Expecting a positive pre-holiday drift
07/02/07......Daily Snapshot Note Holiday seasonality kicks in, big move unlikely as volume drops
June
06/29/07......Daily Snapshot Note Another short-term failure sets up a critical start to next week
06/28/07......Daily Snapshot Note Fed day pattern plays out mostly as expected, now overbought
06/27/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term guides suggesting quick rally ahead
06/26/07......Daily Snapshot Note Streak of lower lows suggests caution if today's low can't hold
06/25/07......Daily Snapshot Note Afternoon reversal not something we often see during uptrends
06/22/07......Daily Snapshot Note Latest CoT data adds some heft to current oversold readings
06/21/07......Daily Snapshot Note Indices rally after brief flirt with oversold readings
06/20/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term guides not oversold despite steady selling pressure
06/19/07......Daily Snapshot Note Choppy conditions dissipate short-term negatives
06/18/07......Daily Snapshot Note Indices carve out 2nd narrowest range in 10 years after expiry
06/15/07......Daily Snapshot Note Negatives crop up for the short-term following today's open
06/14/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term guides finally start to react to recent rally attempt
06/13/07......Daily Snapshot Note Continued extremes in breadth show longer-term positives
06/12/07......Daily Snapshot Note Test of last week's low brings volatile breadth readings
06/11/07......Daily Snapshot Note STEM.MR Models highlight "excessive optimism" this afternoon
06/08/07......Daily Snapshot Note Oversold conditions get worn off as TRIN hits multi-year low
06/07/07......Daily Snapshot Note For first time since February, "oversold" doesn't matter
06/06/07......Daily Snapshot Note Consecutive down days triggers oversold reading in STEM.MR
06/05/07......Daily Snapshot Note Weakness finally sets in but 1530 on the S&P still holding
06/04/07......Daily Snapshot Note The 10-day Arms Index has been under 1.0 for 35 of37 days
06/01/07......Daily Snapshot Note Large gaps on jobs report day are best used as a contrary guide
May
05/31/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term guides back to neutral after consolidation day
05/30/07......Daily Snapshot Note Big gaps down to support typically a good buying opportunity
05/29/07......Daily Snapshot Note High TRIN leads afternoon advance, now things back to neutral
05/25/07......Daily Snapshot Note Yesterday's oversold readings lead to rebound, no longer o.s.
05/24/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market finally snaps, triggered oversold extremes in the process
05/23/07......Daily Snapshot Note Three days, three reversals again gives hope to bears
05/23/07......Long-Term Comment We're seeing a large number of divergences between price and other indicators
05/22/07......Daily Snapshot Note Intraday rallies continue to fail, suggesting short-term exhaustion
05/21/07......Daily Snapshot Note Short-term models become overbought for first time in weeks
05/18/07......Daily Snapshot Note Market worries increase, increasing importanc |