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Click here to see today's Snapshot

 

October

 

10/09/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Given the multitude of extremes, Friday is the day of reckoning

 

10/08/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   More records in a tumultuous tape

 

10/07/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   New lows, deviations from averages point to historic extremes

 

10/06/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Another day of historic extremes

 

10/03/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Failures to deliver Treasuries spike as does public Libor interest

 

10/02/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Here's the re-test...can the pattern hold?

 

10/01/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Watch for the usual post-crash, post-rebound letdown

 

 

September

 

09/30/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   We should see a major short-term bounce after yesterday

 

09/29/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   A bevy of extremes as indices post record readings

 

09/29/08......Data Brief

                   A history of plunges in the DJIA

 

09/26/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The pricing of assets raises concerns for investors

 

09/25/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Short-term guides are cycling into overbought territory

 

09/24/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Money continues to flow into safe havens

 

09/24/08......Data Brief

                   The "no short" list is not just financials - here or abroad

 

09/23/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Volume contraction underscores historically unique moment

 

09/22/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Banning short sales has been tried before, unsuccessfully

 

09/19/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Bullish factors persist, but intervention is a wild card

 

09/18/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   We must rally today, or a crash is likely imminent

 

09/17/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   This is, in a word, chaos - if no rally now, then no precedents

 

09/16/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Intraday, the Panic Button reached historic proportions

 

09/15/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Now we're finally starting to see some panic readings again

 

09/12/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Despite pockets of concern, the "Panic Button" has not triggered

 

09/11/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Volatile conditions aren't triggering same signals as past lows

 

09/10/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Short-term guides suggested snapback, but big worries remain

 

09/09/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The recent three-day pattern places a lot of import on reaction

 

09/08/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Reversal precedents give mixed short-term signals

 

09/05/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Exhaustive selling pressure should be good for a bounce

 

09/04/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Support can't hold, and it turns into a trend day down

 

09/04/08......Data Brief

                   The cash cushion - how much cash is sitting on the sidelines?

 

09/03/08......Data Brief

                   Revisiting the most-hated (and loved) stocks in America

 

09/03/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Starting to see a weak "oversold on support" setup forming

 

09/02/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Weakness before a holiday most often leads to weakness after

 

 

August

 

08/29/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   More signs that rally of past few days is going to give some back

 

08/28/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Price patterns suggest pre-holiday surge may not last

 

08/27/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Same conflict exists in the short-term between longs and shorts

 

08/26/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Sell-off's low volume might actually be a negative

 

08/25/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   List of negatives gets a break after the large down day

 

08/22/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Latest CoT reports suggest trouble if recent patterns hold

 

08/21/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   A couple of warning signs give first hints of potential trouble

 

08/20/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The NDX should show positive one-week returns, or else

 

08/19/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Mid-week reversal theory tested as oversold signals emerge

 

08/18/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The S&P is approaching another oversold on support setup

 

08/15/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   What's driving stocks more - the Dollar or Oil?

 

08/14/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Watch for exceptionally low volume, but not low volatility

 

08/13/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   S&P starting to hit short-term oversold signals

 

08/12/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Nasdaq overbought, Gold oversold and S&P in the middle

 

08/11/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Not finding much reason to bet against rally just yet

 

08/08/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Olympic Games helping to provide a net?

 

08/06/08......Data Brief

                   What we need to know about the Dow's string of 2% gains

 

08/06/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Market's hold of gains a good sign, but still watch for reversal

 

08/05/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Market follows FOMC pattern closely, but watch for reversal

 

08/04/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Another down day might help generate oversold into FOMC

 

08/01/08......Data Brief

                   The most-hated (and loved) stocks in America

 

08/01/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Down days help to alleviate short-term negatives

 

 

 

July

 

07/31/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Positive seasonality is tapering off as August approaches

 

07/30/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Impressive rally brings with it short-term overbought readings

 

07/29/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   We finally get an impressive breadth day

 

07/28/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Not getting many buy signals despite the selling pressure

 

07/25/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Range contracts as traders take a breath

 

07/24/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Short-term negatives take hold, already starting to see oversold

 

07/23/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Lack of big positive breadth day is causing some concern

 

07/22/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Not much to stay against the current rally attempt

 

07/21/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Looking for short-term weakness as price patterns play out

 

07/18/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Volume surge on an up day has led to great longer-term returns

 

07/17/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Follow through to yesterday's rally has an impressive history

 

07/16/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Bank rally, heavy volume suggest continued upside bias

 

07/15/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   VIX / Treasury ratio spikes to panic levels, new lows surge

 

07/14/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Short-term volatility is here to stay for the time being

 

07/11/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Looking for a weekend resolution of the Fannie/Freddie mess

 

07/11/08......Data Brief

                   Taking a look at major bank failure historical precedents

 

07/10/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Smart / Dumb Confidence spread widens to a new extreme

 

07/09/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Failure to hold recent lows ushers in few historical precedents

 

07/08/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Bank reversal helps oversold rally's prospects going forward

 

07/07/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   We're oversold on an historic scale, but that may not be enough

 

07/03/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Breadth has been so persistently bad that precedents are ugly

 

07/02/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Too many folks looking for a bounce, spike in Oil, stop the rally

 

07/01/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The intraday reversal should help lead to more short-term gains

 

 

June

 

06/30/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The "Panic Button" indicator has still not been pressed

 

06/27/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The S&P 500 is headed for its worst June in history

 

06/26/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Not eager to buy yet, as we're just not seeing great concern

 

06/25/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Yet more positive signs, but watch out for post-Fed reversal

 

06/24/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Action in banks, breadth is an odd market development

 

06/23/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Still not seeing many short-term pessimistic extremes

 

06/22/08......Long-Term Comment

                   Dumb Money drops, but what about the other indicators?

 

06/20/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Dumb Money Confidence falls all the way down to 29%

 

06/19/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Intermediate-term sentiment is rapidly improving

 

06/18/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   A Hindenburg Omen has triggered, the last two were great sells

 

06/17/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Not trusting any further gains to last

 

06/16/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Indicators suggested more short-term lift, now a bit overbought

 

06/13/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Selling in Bank shares has been severe on an historic scale

 

06/12/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   There are some decent oversold signals, but for just a bounce

 

06/11/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Four days of bad breadth was historically a good buy signal

 

06/10/08......Data Brief

                   The Dollar just staged in largest gain in two years - what next?

 

06/10/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Inter-market correlations continue to break down

 

06/09/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Market is more likely to reverse mid-week, but no good setups

 

06/06/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Action in banking sector looks to be capitulatory

 

06/06/08......Data Brief

                   The Unemployment Rate indicator

 

06/05/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Rebound sets up some interesting stats for jobs report reaction

 

06/04/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   BKX Banking Index has gotten hit hard, perhaps too hard

 

06/03/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Negatives continue to take their toll, last week's low is looming

 

06/02/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The new month starts off with the 2nd-weakest bang of the year

 

 

May

 

05/30/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   A lackluster end to a choppy month

 

05/29/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Follow-through rally brings a hint of overbought readings

 

05/28/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Seasonality still positive, but other edges hard to come by

 

05/27/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Tech leads market on oversold bounce

 

05/23/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Pre-holiday trading not having its usual positive bias

 

05/22/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Nasdaq 100 looks to be short-term oversold

 

05/22/08......Data Brief

                   We show a correlation matrix showing which countries correlate

 

05/21/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Seasonality suggests a bounce at least by end of month

 

05/20/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   NYSE volume is not what it appears; rare sign of many reversals

 

05/19/08......Data Brief

                   Is this a typical bear market rally?

 

05/19/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The demand for protection is drying up

 

05/16/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Persistent buying pressure is odd given action in the bank sector

 

05/15/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   A list of negatives makes it difficult to trust the breakout, but...

 

05/15/08......Data Brief

                   Rydex assets suggest tech may pause

 

05/14/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Rallies into mid-week during option expiry tend to peter out

 

05/13/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Short-covering rally?  Nah, just another record-low volume day

 

05/12/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Implied volatility implodes as some minor overbought signs hit

 

05/09/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Outlining a case for more short-term weakness

 

05/08/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Banks, bonds decline but S&P holds up...an unusual omen

 

05/07/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Negatives finally take hold, now we're oversold on support

 

05/06/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Nasdaq / NYSE Volume Ratio gives another minor warning

 

05/05/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Big breadth divergence is another minor negative

 

05/03/08......Data Brief

                   Will the Dollar disappoint again (and will the Euro shine)?

 

05/02/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Still some minor negatives as indices struggle with resistance

 

05/01/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Typical post-FOMC reversal turns into a trend day

 

 

April

 

04/30/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Market provides an unusual reaction to FOMC decision

 

04/29/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Indices just chop around ahead of data and FOMC meeting

 

04/28/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Stocks are slightly overbought, but data will be more important

 

04/27/08......Data Brief

                   The Barron's Big Money poll isn't much use for forecasting

 

04/26/08......Data Brief

                   Gasoline prices have a few factors working for lower levels

 

04/25/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   The low volume in ETFs continues to be a potential negative

 

04/24/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Today's asset rotation may not mean much

 

04/23/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Taking a look at how Apple's earnings have impacted the indices

 

04/22/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Short-term negative biases abound, then abate as indices decline

 

04/21/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Low volume is one of the few potential trouble spots

 

04/18/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Various factors point to short-term pullback

 

04/17/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Day of consolidation follows yesterday's overbought readings

 

04/16/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Stocks, and particularly tech, follow through with a trend day

 

04/15/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Technology indices looking better as NDX nears support

 

04/14/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   It's just a myth that the market gaps more during earnings

 

04/14/08......Data Brief

                   Investors' appetites for IPOs has dwindled to nothing

 

04/11/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   GE foils market's attempt to hold most recent support

 

04/10/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Stocks make a little headway, but outlook remains muddled

 

04/09/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Indices were not able to follow through on minor buy setup

 

04/08/08......Daily Snapshot Note

                   Some minor indications that we're getting oversold on support