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Previous years: [ 2010 ] [ 2009 ] [ 2008 ] [ 2007 ] [ 2006 ] [2005] [2004] [2003] [2002]
2009 COMMENTS Jump to month: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
12/31/09......Morning Report AAII bears drop more than 2 deviations below their one-year average
12/30/09......Morning Report More on Rydex traders; Orange Juice rally has attracted lots of bulls
12/30/09......Research Report A look at yearly and quarter returns for various years of the decade
12/29/09......Morning Report Rydex Bull/Bear Ratio at "caution" level; speculators long the US Dollar
12/28/09......Morning Report Small and large options traders are showing no desire for protection
12/24/09......Morning Report Indicators At Extremes is extreme; smart & dumb money in Healthcare
12/23/09......Morning Report More on the put/call ratio; Indicators At Extremes spread to notable level
12/22/09......Morning Report Total put/call ratio makes an extreme; huge surge in Rydex sector assets
12/21/09......Research Report Looking at breakouts from very tight Bollinger Bands
12/21/09......Morning Report Options speculation continues to soar
12/18/09......Morning Report Investment managers are too bullish...and so are Wall Street strategists
12/17/09......Morning Report AAII bears drop, but still historically average; insiders continue to sell
12/16/09......Morning Report Short-term overbought conditions have dissipated; Dollar sentiment rises
12/15/09......Morning Report Our shortest-term model is overbought, to a truly extreme degree
12/14/09......Morning Report Options speculation again hits a record; Dollar and Hogs futures traders
12/11/09......Morning Report Equity funds suffer 2nd-largest outflow; trade or fade the S&P range?
12/10/09......Morning Report Traders are still not moving into OTC (pink sheet) stocks
12/09/09......Morning Report Investor's Intelligence bears drop again, while "correction" camp soars
12/08/09......Morning Report Rydex sector asset allocations; Rydex Energy assets lowest in five years
12/07/09......Morning Report Traders in Nasdaq 100 futures; the ROBO Put/Call Ratio
12/05/09......Weekly Report A weekly summary of reports sent during the week
12/04/09......Morning Report Odd lot purchases, mutual fund flows, and bond market sentiment
12/03/09......Morning Report Individual investor sentiment; retail money market levels drop again
12/02/09......Research Report Newsletter bears in the I.I. survey drop to the 3rd-lowest level in 20 years
12/02/09......Morning Report An extreme in the NDX Price Oscillator; Yen bullishness reaches a high
12/01/09......Morning Report A surge in the Equity Put/Call Ratio; Rydex Health Care assets
11/30/09......Morning Market Comment Nasdaq traders, options speculators and newsletter writers are too bullish
11/19/09......Morning Market Comment Insider selling pressure jumps, especially in Nasdaq 100 stocks
11/18/09......Morning Market Comment Stocks can, and do, pull back from Thanksgiving to Christmas
11/17/09......Morning Market Comment Gold sentiment has become more bullish, but still not in bubble territory
11/16/09......Morning Market Comment The divergence between the S&P and Russell 2000 is not all that bad
11/13/09......Morning Market Comment Traders of pink sheet stocks hold steady; Rydex traders become bullish
11/12/09......Morning Market Comment The divergence between the S&P 500 and NYSE new highs is inconsistent
11/11/09......Morning Market Comment Looking at the long streak of up days, and fewer newsletter bulls
11/10/09......Morning Market Comment Consecutive up days, all with lower volume, haven't been very predictive
11/09/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders, options buyers are showing a lot of pessimism
11/05/09......Morning Market Comment The AAII survey and inverse ETF volume show some cracks in optimism
11/04/09......Morning Market Comment A commodity "heat map" shows Energy is popular, Bonds are not
11/03/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders stop buying the dip, and rotate to more defensive sectors
11/02/09......Morning Market Comment The Barron's Big Money poll's preference for sectors, asset classes
10/30/09......Morning Market Comment Why the day of the low McClellan Oscillator reading is important
10/29/09......Morning Market Comment Consecutively poor Up Issues Ratio, and Rydex traders buying the dip
10/28/09......Morning Market Comment What happens when the Oscillator hits oversold...and keeps going
10/27/09......Morning Market Comment Momentum is waning (via the McClellan Oscillator) despite high prices
10/26/09......Morning Market Comment Using volatile breadth readings as a sign of a top
10/22/09......Morning Market Comment Yesterday's downside reversal is not a good reason to become bearish
10/21/09......Morning Market Comment Looking at extremes in buying and selling climaxes
10/20/09......Morning Market Comment When markets bottom, by month
10/19/09......Morning Market Comment When markets top, by month
10/16/09......Morning Market Comment Fourth-quarter returns when the market has already rallied 10%
10/15/09......Morning Market Comment Many of our sentiment indicators have become stagnant during the rally
10/14/09......Morning Market Comment What happens when the market gaps up after Intel earnings reports
10/13/09......Morning Market Comment Looking at using non-earnings season as a predictor for earnings season
10/12/09......Morning Market Comment What to expect now that the S&P has recovered from a Reversal Day
10/09/09......Morning Market Comment Recent sentiment readings are all over the map
10/08/09......Morning Market Comment Pink sheet speculators are getting a little more active
10/07/09......Morning Market Comment A recent spike in breadth and drop in put/call ratios is short-term bearish
10/06/09......Morning Market Comment A survey of money managers shows growing optimism (and confidence)
10/05/09......Morning Market Comment The S&P 500 has never seen this many unfilled opening gaps
10/02/09......Morning Market Comment Another look at October's volatility and pullbacks from multi-month highs
10/01/09......Morning Market Comment The S&P 500 put/call ratio has spiked, but it's an inconsistent indicator
09/30/09......Morning Market Comment Using credit standards and the Baltic Dry Index to time the S&P 500
09/29/09......Morning Market Comment How October performs after "good" and "bad" Septembers
09/28/09......Morning Market Comment Three down days after a big stretch above 200-day is not a sell signal
09/25/09......Morning Market Comment More on yesterday's reversal, and a look at US Dollar sentiment
09/24/09......Morning Market Comment What to look for following a Key Reversal Day
09/22/09......Morning Market Comment The recent trend of rising prices and falling volume has never been seen
09/21/09......Morning Market Comment Speculation in the options pits has reached a new record
09/18/09......Morning Market Comment The Smart Money / Dumb Money Spread suggests a short-term pause
09/17/09......Morning Market Comment The S&P's historical feat of moving 20% above its 200-day average
09/16/09......Morning Market Comment Gold speculation has reached a record, but other measures don't agree
09/15/09......Morning Market Comment A wide spread between German current conditions and expectations
09/11/09......Morning Market Comment Looking at a short-term Up Issues Ratio which is exceptionally stretched
09/10/09......Morning Market Comment The market is hitting new recovery highs, but sentiment isn't
09/09/09......Morning Market Comment There isn't much excessive speculation evident in "pink sheet" volume
09/08/09......Morning Market Comment What happens on big gaps after the Payroll Report; Rydex Value assets
09/04/09......Morning Market Comment We're heading into the Nonfarm Payroll Report with high expectations
09/03/09......Morning Market Comment Looking at the recent moves and volume in SPY and GLD
09/02/09......Morning Market Comment When adjusted for deflation, fund managers are holding too little cash
09/01/09......Morning Market Comment Mom and pop retail investors have moved a lot of funds out of cash
08/31/09......Morning Market Comment The first break of this tight range is not the best predictor of future moves
08/18/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders have been betting against a further NDX decline
08/17/09......Morning Market Comment The McClellan Summation Index is turning down from an historic level
08/13/09......Morning Market Comment One "dumb money" and one "smart money" guide just hit new extremes
08/12/09......Morning Market Comment Earnings-season performance in the S&P isn't a great predictor
08/11/09......Morning Market Comment An extremely rare long-term breadth thrust has occurred
08/10/09......Morning Market Comment Put/Call Ratios are hitting extremes, but not among the smallest of traders
08/07/09......Morning Market Comment A few bond indicators are showing extreme optimism
08/06/09......Morning Market Comment Extreme breadth days are becoming common, which is highly unusual
08/05/09......Morning Market Comment Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence is at another extreme
08/04/09......Morning Market Comment Free credits have cratered; renewed speculation in Rydex mutual funds
07/31/09......Morning Market Comment Money market funds suffer their worst outflow ever
07/30/09......Morning Market Comment Individual investors in the AAII survey say they're returning to the market
07/29/09......Morning Market Comment Looking at the burst of long-side buying interest in the Rydex funds
07/28/09......Morning Market Comment A surge in volume in the last 15 minutes of trading; the equity p/c ratio
07/24/09......Morning Market Comment The S&P has stretched more than 10% above its declining 200-day avg
07/23/09......Morning Market Comment What Nasdaq Composite momentum has meant in the past
07/22/09......Morning Market Comment Despite the rally, Investor's Intelligence isn't showing many more bulls
07/20/09......Morning Market Comment Looking at major changes in price from multi-month lows
07/17/09......Morning Market Comment Streaks of 7 up days following a multi-month low in the Nasdaq
07/16/09......Morning Market Comment Why the next few days are so important to the intermediate-term
07/15/09......Morning Market Comment The market usually fades gaps in Intel; the Index Put/Call Ratio Update......A record extreme in the STEM.MR Model
07/14/09......Morning Market Comment Yesterday's 90% up volume day may not be what it seems
07/13/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders and large options traders give a couple reasons for rally
07/10/09......Morning Market Comment Reviewing our indicator timing charts shows more of the same
07/09/09......Morning Market Comment A 2-month low in the S&P with a tiny number of 52-wk lows on the NYSE
07/08/09......Morning Market Comment More on the two fear indexes, including when they're both at extremes
07/07/09......Morning Market Comment Two fear indexes (the VIX and CSFB Fear Index) are diverging
07/06/09......Morning Market Comment Putting some probabilities to the Head & Shoulders pattern in the S&P
06/26/09......Morning Market Comment Why the "wall of worry" argument isn't necessarily a good one
06/25/09......Morning Market Comment Three relatively unknown indicators are near "dangerous" levels for stocks Update......The short-term models have moved into overbought
06/24/09......Morning Market Comment Taking a look at the "Golden Cross" and multiple 90% down days Update......The post-Fed reaction lessens the "Fed Reversal" edge
06/23/09......Morning Market Comment The S&P 500 has crossed back below its 200-day average Update......Looking like we're heading for a rally into the FOMC meeting
06/22/09......Update......After following through on weakness, a few short-term pluses
06/19/09......Morning Market Comment Gapping up on expiration hasn't been a great sign for short-term bulls
06/18/09......Morning Market Comment A look at short-term and intermediate-term timing charts Update......A rally into 925-930 on Friday should be cause for trouble
06/17/09......Morning Market Comment Why window-dressing isn't necessarily a bullish factor; the put/call again Update......The market has been weaker than it should be
06/16/09......Morning Market Comment The put/call ratio dropped on a big down day Update......Several studies are pointing higher into week-end
06/15/09......Morning Market Comment Odd lot data shows small traders have been aggressive buyers
06/12/09......Morning Market Comment The put/call ratio is now showing too much optimism (short-term)
06/11/09......Morning Market Comment A look at the Rydex bull/bear ratio; a spike in Nasdaq/NYSE volume
06/10/09......Morning Market Comment Two out of three newsletters are bullish; what happens at triple witch
06/09/09......Morning Market Comment Put/call ratio argues for short-term rally; McClellan Oscillator does not
06/08/09......Morning Market Comment AIM Model hits a multi-year high while Nasdaq 100 breadth does too
06/05/09......Morning Market Comment Penny stocks and Rydex Nasdaq bull funds are seeing a large inflow
06/04/09......Morning Market Comment An indicator of risk-aversion is showing a new bear market low
06/03/09......Morning Market Comment Overbought breadth on the NDX; high Neutral responses in the AAII poll Update......Looking for a bounce off test of breakout level
06/02/09......Morning Market Comment The S&P closed above its 200-day average; Coppock Curve buy signal
06/01/09......Morning Market Comment Mom-and-pop assets in money market funds has dipped from an extreme
05/29/09......Morning Market Comment The exceptionally tight range over the past four weeks will break soon
05/28/09......Morning Market Comment The yield curve has surged to a new record; AAII "neutrals" are high
05/27/09......Morning Market Comment Consumer expectations have gotten way ahead of current conditions
05/26/09......Morning Market Comment There has been no big rush for the protection of put options lately
05/22/09......Morning Market Comment The simultaneous decline in stocks, bonds and the Dollar is examined
05/21/09......Morning Market Comment The number and amount of secondary offerings near or exceed records
05/20/09......Morning Market Comment Consecutive price flip-flops reaches 10 days; when gaps get filled
05/19/09......Morning Market Comment A variety of short-term patterns are suggesting we fade a gap up open
05/18/09......Morning Market Comment Why there is probably no reason to worry about this junk-led rally
05/15/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders doing an about-face; why "distribution days" are bunk
05/14/09......Morning Market Comment Gold sentiment has become stretched in the short-term
05/13/09......Morning Market Comment Japanese margin traders have greatly pared their losses - not a good sign
05/12/09......Morning Market Comment The Bond Indicator Score has become severely oversold
05/11/09......Morning Market Comment Two polls are giving opposite signals (Tickersense and Realmoney.com)
05/08/09......Morning Market Comment Why this rally has been so different from other bear market rallies
05/07/09......Morning Market Comment AAII members are slowly coming back, Rydex tech traders are rushing in
05/06/09......Morning Market Comment Another look at trend persistency in the McClellan Oscillator
05/05/09......Morning Market Comment The most overbought in six years, a look at historical precedents
05/04/09......Morning Market Comment Money market assets as a timing indicator; extreme flip in Summation Update......The S&P is about to go positive on the year
05/01/09......Morning Market Comment Earnings and economic expectations; VIX divergences
04/30/09......Morning Market Comment When the market rallies after a FOMC meeting, we usually see a give-back
04/29/09......Morning Market Comment With the large gap up opening, expect higher prices on this FOMC day
04/28/09......Morning Market Comment Small-caps are leading large-caps, but history is unclear about meaning Update......What happens after gaps and then recoveries
04/27/09......Morning Market Comment Barron's Big Money poll is more contrary than "smart money"
04/24/09......Morning Market Comment Insider selling pressure remains a concern
04/23/09......Morning Market Comment The "Wall of Worry" argument is based on a shaky foundation
04/22/09......Morning Market Comment Institutional investors have been buying stock aggressively
04/21/09......Morning Market Comment The "holy grail" of pullbacks to 20-day m.a. is no Holy Grail Update......Flips in breadth with weak price action are bearish
04/20/09......Morning Market Comment A new record for call volume last week suggests trouble Update......Short-term guides start to hit oversold after bad day
04/17/09......Morning Market Comment Mutual fund flows and Liquidity Premium show investors return
04/16/09......Morning Market Comment A breakout in bullishness; Dumb Money surges Update......Nasdaq TRIN falls as stocks melt up into expiration
04/15/09......Morning Market Comment Intel's gap down on earnings is actually a bullish sign
04/14/09......Morning Market Comment The market has done well the week after tax day, at least lately Update......The days before option expiration have been bad
04/13/09......Morning Market Comment Five straight up weeks is fairly unlikely to stretch much more Update......More on post-holiday seasonality
04/09/09......Morning Market Comment Corporate insiders are neutral, but that could mean trouble Update......Strength doesn't bode well for early next week
04/08/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders continue their love for technology funds Update......Positive pre-holiday seasonality
04/07/09......Morning Market Comment Earnings season seasonality, Dumb Money conspire against S&P
04/06/09......Morning Market Comment Four up weeks after a new low may be important
04/03/09......Morning Market Comment The early gap open should tell us a lot about the coming day Update......Markets are holding up into the close, but...
04/02/09......Morning Market Comment Individual investors are holding more cash than stock Update......Stats related to markets ahead of the Payroll report
04/01/09......Morning Market Comment Performance during the 3, 6 and 12 months after major lows Update......When April 1st is up big, it tends to follow through
03/31/09......Morning Market Comment A reason why stocks may have already anticipated a recovery
03/30/09......Morning Market Comment Why the first half-hour of trading should set the day's tone
03/27/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders signal a warning sign
03/26/09......Morning Market Comment Notable upside trend persistency (via the McClellan Oscillator)
03/25/09......Morning Market Comment Why volume doesn't really matter (as much as it's made out to)
03/24/09......Morning Market Comment Never before have we seen such concentrated buying pressure
03/23/09......Morning Market Comment Higher high after gap today should lead to large up day
03/20/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders have bought into the rally
03/19/09......Morning Market Comment Market hits a new low, then up 6 out of 7 days - a good sign
03/18/09......Morning Market Comment Wall Street Strategists are about as pessimistic as individuals
03/17/09......Morning Market Comment Short-term breadth is getting extremely stretched
03/16/09......Morning Market Comment Rydex traders have shifted their focus to technology
03/13/09......Morning Market Comment Short-term indicator score has reached an extreme
03/12/09......Morning Market Comment Insiders are buying, and "pink sheet" speculation has dried up
03/11/09......Morning Market Comment A day of records, and an important "blast off" day
03/10/09......Morning Market Comment Starved for a rally...more than a year since an 80-day rally
03/09/09......Morning Market Comment New 52-week highs have all but disappeared; bottoms by time
03/06/09......Morning Market Comment Corporate insiders are starting to wade back into stocks
03/05/09......Morning Market Comment Individual investors are showing their highest pessimism ever
03/04/09......Morning Market Comment When markets bottom, according to the calendar
03/03/09......Morning Market Comment Analog to 1937-1938 and a possible bottoming pattern
03/02/09......Morning Market Comment Mutual fund cash levels continue to record new extremes
02/27/09......Morning Market Comment Some good news (and some bad) with the Dumb Money
02/26/09......Morning Market Comment The surge in the BKX Banking Index isn't necessarily a good sign
02/25/09......Morning Market Comment Yesterday's 90% Up Volume day may be important
02/24/09......Morning Market Comment Several gauges point to several-day rally directly ahead
02/23/09......Morning Market Comment Small traders refuse to buckle like at the last couple of lows
02/20/09......Morning Market Comment This morning's gap has the hallmarks of a washout day
02/19/09......Morning Market Comment AAII members have slumped to a very pessimistic outlook
02/18/09......Morning Market Comment Why a positive divergence with new 52-week lows isn't reliable
02/17/09......Morning Market Comment Small options traders bought last week's dip - not a great sign
02/13/09......Morning Market Comment Yesterday's upside reversal day isn't all it's cracked up to be
02/12/09......Morning Market Comment "Smart money" OEX traders appear bullish, but volume is low
02/11/09......Morning Market Comment Dow/Nasdaq divergence should lead to more of the same
02/10/09......Morning Market Comment Indicators are pointing to a give-back of the recent gains
02/05/09......Morning Market Comment AAII allocations, the Baltic Dry Index and Wall Street analysts
02/04/09......Morning Market Comment Weakness in the banks suggests the same for other stocks
02/03/09......Morning Market Comment Two drops and a gap is a consistently bullish short-term sign
02/02/09......Morning Market Comment January's infamously bad drop not necessarily a sign for the year
01/29/09......Morning Market Comment Watch for a typical reversal from post-FOMC reaction
01/28/09......Morning Market Comment Large gap up on FOMC day suggests an even higher close, but...
01/26/09......Morning Market Comment Multiple reversals are a short-term positive sign
01/23/09......Morning Market Comment Mutual fund flows are once again turning positive - a sell signal?
01/22/09......Morning Market Comment After a day like yesterday, short-term pullback is due
01/21/09......Morning Market Comment Looking for a bounce in banks after yesterday's crash
01/20/09......Morning Market Comment Bank trend is a negative for the broader market, too
01/16/09......Morning Market Comment One definition of a "key reversal" day isn't much of a help
01/15/09......Morning Market Comment Dumb Money gave ample warning of recent troubles
01/14/09......Morning Market Comment A multitude of short-term oversold signals suggest recovery
01/13/09......Morning Market Comment Presidential inauguration is not the bullish factor some hope for
01/12/09......Morning Market Comment Economic sentiment surveys showing the most pessimism ever
01/09/09......Morning Market Comment Nonfarm Payroll days have been negative the past five years
01/08/09......Morning Market Comment The put/call ratio does something it has never done before
01/07/09......Morning Market Comment Extremely overbought breadth readings, highest in 30+years
01/05/09......Morning Market Comment McClellan Oscillator, Summation Index at interesting juncture
01/02/09...... Data Brief Asset in money market funds now could absorb 42% of the S&P
01/02/09......Morning Market Comment AAII investors choose cash over stocks
Previous years: [ 2010 ] [ 2009 ] [ 2008 ] [ 2007 ] [ 2006 ] [2005] [2004] [2003] [2002]
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