NEW HIGHS / NEW LOWS RATIO

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APPLICABLE TIME FRAME(S):  

SHORT / INTERMEDIATE

 

UPDATE SCHEDULE:

Each weekday night by 5:00 PM EST

 

EXPLANATION:

This is a breadth ratio constructed from New High / New Low Ratio.  New highs are the number of NYSE issues that closed at a new 52-week high today.  New lows are the number of NYSE issues that reached a new 52-week low as of today's close.  It is expressed as the number of issues that closed at a new high as a percentage of the total (we also present the ratio chart for the Nasdaq).  For example, on any given day, if there were 100 issues which closed at a new high 30 which closed at a new low, then the new high percentage would be:

100 / (100 + 30) = 100 / 130 = 77%

The ratio is observed on a 5-, 10- and 21-day moving average basis in order to smooth out extreme day-to-day fluctuations and focus on the most recent two-week period.

GUIDELINES:

This indicator can be effectively used to approximate overbought / oversold conditions.  When the ratio reaches one of the extremes, caution is warranted when trading with the current trend.  For example, if the trend is up and the NH/NL ratio reaches .90 on a 10-day average basis, then there is a high probability of at least a short-term retracement. 

 

Overbought/oversold indicators such as this one are most effective when giving contra-trend signals.  When we are in a clear long-term downtrend and this indicator becomes overbought, then it is an effective sell signal.  Conversely, if we are in a sustained uptrend and the indicator becomes oversold, then it suggests that an upside reversal may be forthcoming.

 

ADDITIONAL RESOURCES:

New York Stock Exchange (www.nyse.com)

 


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