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Sentiment Report For Wednesday

 

"Smart money" traders in S&P 100 options have been curiously absent from trading put options versus call options, which is typically what they'd do during a rally like we've seen.  A good sign, but low priority »

   

 

 

 

The Smart Money is 33% confident in a rally.

The Dumb Money is 63% confident in a rally.

 

 

Equity Market Indicators                                                                                    Complete list »

The percentage of our indicators that were bearish (for the market) jumped above 30% in mid-March.  That 30% threshold can be considered extreme, and while the percentage can go higher, to 40% or even higher, stocks usually struggle for 1-3 months after it hits 30%.  The S&P 500 did struggle a bit for the next month, not really going anywhere.  It has since gone on to a new high, while the percentage of troublesome indicators has dropped back to a neutral level.

 

 

More history:   Short-term Score     Long-term Score    Indicators At Extremes

Bearish for equities 

* New extreme

 

Rydex Bull/Bear RSI Spread

TRIN - NASDAQ

Composite Model

Daily Cumulative Tick - NYSE

Put/Call Ratio - Equity Moving Averages

Put/Call Ratio - Equity De-Trended

Stock/Bond Ratio

Rydex Ratio

Fidelity Sector Breath

NH/NL Ratio - NYSE

NH/NL Ratio - NASDAQ

Sentiment Survey - NAAIM

Sentiment Survey - Market Vane

Sentiment Survey - Consensus

Sentiment Survey - Investor's Intelligence

Insider Insights Buy/Sell Ratio

Mutual Fund Flows

NYSE Available Cash

Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence

 


Bullish for equities 

* New extreme

 

Intraday Cumulative Tick - NYSE

Odd Lot Short Sales

Put/Call Ratio - OEX Moving Averages

Put/Call Ratio - OEX/Equity Spread

CSFB Fear Barometer

 

 

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Stocks And Sectors                                                                                          Sector breadth »

For months on end, we haven't seen much of a change in the sector overbought/oversold levels.  They have stayed mostly within neutral territory, or dipping in and out of mild overbought territory.  Overall, nothing to be too worried about for a broader-market perspective.

 

 

 Index Seasonality                                                                                           More seasonality »

 

May 23 is trading day #18 of the month

(The charts below reflect the last 30 years of history)

 

Click month to view:  Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec

 

 

Click month to view:  Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec

 

 

Click month to view:  Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec

 

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