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Confidence Indexes

 

NAME

CHART

TIME FRAME

 VALUE CHANGE DATE POSITION
SMART MONEY  M2 29% UNCH 05/21/13
DUMB MONEY  M2 67%UNCH 05/21/13

 

 

Models

 

NAME

CHART

TIME FRAME

VALUE

CHANGE

DATE

POSITION

STEM.MR  S1 45% -16% 05/21/13
STEM.MR NASDAQ  S1 63% UNCH 05/21/13
STEM  S1 62% -1% 05/21/13
SHORT-TERM SCORE  S1 54% +2% 05/21/13

COMPOSITE  M2 74% -1% 05/21/13
INT-TERM SCORE  M2 69% UNCH 05/21/13
% AT BULLISH EXTREME  M2 3% UNCH 05/21/13
% AT BEARISH EXTREME  M2 27% +3% 05/21/13
AIM  L3 58%+4% 05/17/13

                                                                                                                             

 

Indicators

Click the column headings to sort the following table*

 

NAME

CHART

 GROUP

TIME FRAME

 VALUE CHANGE DATE POSITION
VIX  VOLATILITY S1 13.37 +0.35 05/21/13

4

VIX FEAR VOLATILITY M2 1.5 +0.6 05/21/13

4

VIX TRANSFORM VOLATILITY L`3 11.9%

-0.2%

 05/21/13

4

VXN  VOLATILITY S1 14.41 +0.88 05/21/13

4

VXN FEAR VOLATILITY M2 0.1 +0.9 05/21/13

4

CSFB FEAR BAROMETER VOLATILITY M2 20.70 -0.84 05/21/13

2

NASDAQ/NYSE VOLUME VOLATILITY M2 2.68 +0.52 05/21/13

4

STOCK / BOND RATIO VOLATILITY M2 2.4 -0.3 05/21/13

6

SMART $ INDEX VOLATILITY M2 651 -8 05/21/13 4
CREDIT DEFAULTS (CDX) VOLATILITY M2 344 +3 05/20/13 4
VIX FUTURES SPREAD NEW! VOLATILITY M2 1.87 +.04 05/21/13 4
ROBO RATIOTM PUTCALL M2 .57 -.03 05/17/13 4
SMALL TRADER CALLS PUTCALL M2 36% +1% 05/17/13 4
SMALL TRADER PUTS PUTCALL M2 21% UNCH 05/17/13 4
LOBO RATIOTM PUTCALL M2 1.01 +.05 05/17/13 4
LARGE TRADER CALLS PUTCALL M2 29% UNCH 05/17/13 4
LARGE TRADER PUTS PUTCALL M2 30% +2% 05/17/13 4
OPTIONS SPECULATION PUTCALL M2 1.07 -.03 05/17/13

4

TOTAL  PUTCALL S1 .92 +.13 05/21/13

4

TOTAL 10-DAY  PUTCALL M2 .86 UNCH 05/21/13

4

TOTAL 21-DAY  PUTCALL M2 .88 UNCH 05/21/13

4

EQUITY  PUTCALL S1 .54 +.02 05/21/13

4

EQUITY 10-DAY PUTCALL M2 .56 -.01 05/21/13

5

EQUITY 21-DAY PUTCALL M2 .58 -.01 05/21/13

4

EQUITY DE-TRENDED PUTCALL M2 -14% -1% 05/21/13

5

ISE SENTIMENT INDEX PUTCALL S1 142 +36 05/21/13

4

ISE INDEX(TM) 10-DAY PUTCALL M2 107 +5 05/21/13 4
OEX  PUTCALL S1 .98 +.48 05/21/13

4

OEX 10-DAY PUTCALL M2 .95 +.01 05/21/13

2

OEX 21-DAY PUTCALL M2 1.20 -.04 05/21/13

4

OEX / EQUITY SPREAD PUTCALL M2 .40 +.03 05/21/13

3

OEX OPEN INT  PUTCALL M2 .99 +.05 05/21/13

4

OEX DETERMINATION PUTCALL M2 47%

UNCH

 05/21/13

4

SPY LIQUIDITY PREM.  BREADTH M2 -6% +1% 05/21/13

4

QQQ LIQUIDITY PREM.  BREADTH M2 -17% -1% 05/21/13

5

FIDELITY SELECT BREADTH BREADTH M2 98% +3% 05/21/13

5

TRIN (10-DAY) NYSE  BREADTH M2 .87 -.04 05/21/13

4

TRIN (10-DAY) NASDAQ BREADTH M2 .75 -.10 05/21/13

5

UP ISSUES (10-DAY)  BREADTH M2 .55 -.02 05/21/13

4

UP VOLUME (10-DAY)  BREADTH M2 .58 -.02 05/21/13

4

NH / NL - NYSE  BREADTH M2 .96 UNCH 05/21/13

6

UP ISSUES- NASDAQ  BREADTH M2 .55 -.01 05/21/13

4

UP VOLUME - NASDAQ    BREADTH M2 .62 +.01 05/21/13

5

NH / NL - NASDAQ   BREADTH M2 .93 +.01 05/21/13

6

DOWN PRESS. S&P BREADTH S1 34% -10% 05/21/13

4

DOWN PRESS. NDX BREADTH S1 34% -9% 05/21/13

4

PRICE OSCILLATOR S&P BREADTH S1 54% +2% 05/21/13

4

PRICE OSCILLATOR NDX BREADTH S1 58% +6% 05/21/13

4

TICK - NYSE (10-DAY) BREADTH M2 4498 +354 05/21/13

5

INTRADAY TICK - NYSE BREADTH S1 1412 -322 05/21/13

4

TICK - NASDAQ (10-DAY) BREADTH M2 1877 +46 05/21/13

4

INTRADAY TICK - NASDAQ BREADTH S1 506 -726 05/21/13

4

S&P 500 (SPY) SECTORS M2    05/21/13

5

NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) SECTORS M2     05/21/13

5

S&P 600 SMALL CAPS SECTORS M2     05/21/13 5
BASIC MATERIALS SECTORS M2     05/21/13

5

BIOTECHNOLOGY SECTORS M2     05/21/13

4

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SECTORS M2     05/21/13 6
CONSUMER STAPLES SECTORS M2     05/21/13

6

ENERGY SECTORS M2     05/21/13

7

FINANCIALS SECTORS M2     05/21/13 7
GOLD BUGS SECTORS M2     05/21/13

2

HEALTH CARE SECTORS M2     05/21/13

5

HOUSING SECTORS M2     05/21/13

6

INDUSTRIALS SECTORS M2     05/21/13 6
SEMICONDUCTORS SECTORS M2     05/21/13 5
TECHNOLOGY SECTORS M2     05/21/13 4
UTILITIES SECTORS M2     05/21/13

5

II BULLS  SURVEYS M2 54.2% +2.1% 05/10/13 4
II CORRECTION SURVEYS M2 26.0% -2.1% 05/10/13 4
II BEARS  SURVEYS M2 19.8% UNCH 05/10/13 7
II BULL RATIO  SURVEYS M2 73.2% +0.7% 05/10/13 7
HULBERT STOCK SENTIMENT SURVEYS M2 71% +3% 05/13/13 7
HULBERT NAZ SENTIMENT SURVEYS M2 94% UNCH 05/13/13 7
CONSENSUS BULLS  SURVEYS M2 72% +2% 05/03/13 7
MKT VANE BULLS  SURVEYS M2 70% +1% 05/10/13

5

AAII BULLS  SURVEYS M2 38% -3% 05/16/13 4
AAII BEARS  SURVEYS M2 29% +2% 05/16/13 4
AAII BULL RATIO  SURVEYS M2 57% -3% 05/16/13 4
AAII RATIO 4-WK  SURVEYS M2 51% +5% 05/16/13 4
AAII ALLOCATION - STOCKS  SURVEYS M2 61.7% +2.2% 04/30/13 4
NAAIM MANAGERS SURVEYS M2 84% +5% 05/15/13 5
RISK APPETITE INDEX NEW! SURVEYS M2 67% +2% 05/15/13 4
JAPANESE MARGIN TRADERS SURVEYS M2 4.1% +1.9% 05/10/13 7
STRATEGISTS' ALLOCATION SURVEYS L3 49.2% +3.4% 04/26/13 4
WALL ST ANALYST RATING SURVEYS L3 28% UNCH 02/28/11 4
ECONOMIC SURPRISE INDEX NEW! SURVEYS L3 -23.1 -16.2 05/16/13

4
U OF MICH CONSUMER CONF SURVEYS L3 76.4 -2.2 04/30/13

4

CONF BOARD CONSUMER CONF SURVEYS L3 68.1 +6.2 04/30/13

4

ABC CONSUMER COMFORT SURVEYS L3 -30 UNCH 05/13/13

4

N.F.I.B. SMALL BUS OPTIMISM SURVEYS L3 92.1 +2.6 04/30/13

4

ALL-INDEXES COT M2     05/14/13 4
COMMERCIAL TRADERS COT M2     05/14/13 7
SMALL SPECULATORS COT M2     05/14/13 4
S&P 500  COT M2     05/14/13 4
S&P 500 E-MINI COT M2     05/14/13 4
S&P 500 "SMART MONEY" COTM2     05/14/13 5
NASDAQ 100 (NDX) COTM2     05/14/13 7
NDX E-MINI COTM2     05/14/13 7
NDX "SMART MONEY" COTM2     05/14/13

7

DOW COTM2     05/14/13

4
DOW "SMART MONEY" COTM2     05/14/13

6
DOW E-MINI COTM2     05/14/13 4
RUSSELL 2000 COTM2     05/14/13

4

RUSSELL 2000 "SMART MONEY" COTM2    05/14/13

4
RUSSELL 2000 E-MINI COTM2    05/14/13

5
NIKKEI COTM2     05/14/13

4

VIX COTM2     05/14/13 4
ODD LOT PURCHASE % SHORTS S1 63% UNCH 05/20/13

4

ODD LOT SHORTS SHORTS S1 12.87 -1.26 05/20/13

4
INVERSE ETF VOLUME NEW! SHORTS M2 .0043% UNCH 05/21/13

4

SHORT INT. NYSE (SIR) SHORTS L3 3.9 UNCH 03/28/13 4
SIR DE-TRENDED NYSE SHORTS L3 0.2 UNCH 03/28/13 4
SHORT INT. NASDAQ SHORTS L3 4.5 -0.1 03/28/13 4
MUTUAL FUND CASH % CASH L3 3.7% -0.1% 03/28/13

4

FUND CASH PREM CASH L3 -0.9 -0.1 03/28/13 4
RETAIL MONEY MARKET CASH L3 4.3% UNCH 05/03/13 4
MARGIN DEBT NYSE CASH L3 379,522 +13,383 03/28/13 7
FREE CREDITS NYSE CASH L3 287,303 -8,571 03/28/13 4
NET CASH NYSE CASH L3 -92,219 -21,954 03/28/13 7
MARGIN DEBT NASDAQ CASH L3 8,601 -15,611 03/28/13 4
FREE CREDITS NASDAQ CASH L3 55,262 +331 03/28/13 4
NET CASH NASDAQ CASH L3 46,661 +15,942 03/28/13 4
IPOs CASH L3 1 -6 04/30/13 2
SECONDARY OFFERINGS CASH L3 44 -42 04/30/13 4
OTC SHARE VOLUME CASH L3 12.3 +2.7 04/28/13 4
OTC DOLLAR VOLUME CASH L3 2.5 -0.4 04/28/13 4
OTC TRANSACTIONS CASH L3 4.6 -0.6 04/28/13 4
AMG FLOW (WITH ETFs) CASH M2 8900 +1200 05/15/13 5
AMG FLOW (NO ETFs) CASH M2 3100 +1300 05/15/13 5
INSIDER BUYS/SELLS INSIDERS M2 -78% +6% 05/20/13 5
INSIDERSCORE.COM BUY/SELL INSIDERS M2 -1.3 -1.3 05/15/13

4

BULLISH FLOW  RYDEX M2 7% +1% 05/21/13

4

BEARISH FLOW  RYDEX M2 -3% +1% 05/21/13

4

COMPOSITE RYDEX M2 N/A N/A 05/21/13

4

RYDEX RATIO RYDEX M2 .39 +.01 05/21/13

5

BETA CHASE INDEX  RYDEX S1 2.0 +0.4 05/21/13

4

ENTHUSIASM INDEX RYDEX S1 -.08 +.04 05/21/13

4

MONEY MARKET % RYDEX M2 34% +1% 05/21/13

4

BULL/BEAR SPREAD  RYDEX S1 43 -19 05/21/13

4

SECTORS W/ASSETS > 50-DAY RYDEX M2 64% -9% 05/21/13

4

SMALL VS LARGE CAPS RYDEX M2 -85.8 +34.1 05/21/13 4
TOTAL BULL ASSETS RYDEX M2 1131.2 -14.1 05/21/13 4
LEVERAGED BULLS RYDEX M2 521.1 -17.6 05/21/13 4
TOTAL BEAR ASSETS RYDEX M2 246.3 -6.0 05/21/13 4
LEVERAGED BEARS RYDEX M2 113.5 -0.1 05/21/13 4
BANKING RYDEX M2 13.3 -0.3 05/21/13 4
BASIC MATERIALS RYDEX M2 46.2 -1.3 05/21/13 4
BIOTECHNOLOGY RYDEX M2 308.9 +4.1 05/21/13

6

CONSUMER PRODUCTS RYDEX M2 205.0 +2.0 05/21/13

6

ELECTRONICS RYDEX M2 17.0 +0.1 05/21/13

3

ENERGY RYDEX M2 63.3 -7.8 05/21/13 4
ENERGY SERVICES RYDEX M2 50.2 -0.9 05/21/13 4
EUROPE - LARGE CAP RYDEX M2 18.7 +1.2 05/21/13 4
FINANCIAL SERVICES RYDEX M2 29.5 -0.9 05/21/13 4
HEALTH CARE RYDEX M2 130.1 +0.3 05/21/13 5
INTERNET RYDEX M2 9.6 -0.6 05/21/13 4
JAPAN - LARGE CAP RYDEX M2 24.7 +0.6 05/21/13 4
LEISURE RYDEX M2 34.2 -0.1 05/21/13 4
RETAILING RYDEX M2 19.6 +0.2 05/21/13 4
TECHNOLOGY RYDEX M2 14.9 +0.4 05/21/13 3
TELECOMMUNICATIONS RYDEX M2 5.2 UNCH 05/21/13 3
TRANSPORTATION RYDEX M2 101.1 +1.8 05/21/13 4
UTILITIES RYDEX M2 72.5-2.9 05/21/13 5

                                                                                                                                                     

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* You can refine your sort by clicking another header.  Refresh your browser to re-set the indicator order.

 

Example 1:  To see the most bullish indicators first in each group, click on "POSITION", then "GROUP"

Example 2:  To see the most recently updated indicators first in each group, click on "DATE", then "GROUP"

 

Daily models and indicators are usually updated by 7pm EST, except for Rydex which is usually by 11pm EST

 

The "TIME FRAME" column shows the applicable time frame for each indicator:

  • S = Short-term (several days)

  • M = Medium-term (one to three months)

  • L = Long-term (longer than three months)

Each indicator in the table is accompanied by an icon.  That icon tells you how extreme the indicator is relative to its recent range.  "Extremely Bullish" would mean that the indicator strongly suggests that stocks should rise; "Bearish", on the other hand, means that the indicator is mildly hinting that stocks may fall going forward.

 

Icon Meaning
1 Extremely Bullish

2

 Very Bullish
3 Bullish
4 Neutral

5

 Bearish
6 Very Bearish

7

 Extremely Bearish

 

 

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