Reports Library

Sometimes, knowing where NOT to invest can be just as valuable as knowing where to invest. Both the Metals and Mining sector and emerging markets are soon entering unfavorable seasonal periods. History suggests that investors should look elsewhere for opportunities for now.

S&P 500 futures see a rare rapid COT positioning shift as the Regime Gap 7-week change drops below -120 and the Hedgers Combo completes a full 100-to-0 cycle. History signals elevated short-term volatility and mostly positive longer-term returns.

A rare 65% breadth gap has opened between utility and tech stocks, occurring fewer than 30 times in 30 years. While historically bullish, the S&P 500 falling below its 50-day moving average signals rising short-term risk

Crude oil and unleaded gas prices have soared since the onset of the Iran war. As long as political and military tensions remain high, the potential for sharply higher prices remains. Despite all of this, there IS a bearish case to be made for Unleaded Gas futures in the months ahead. Details herein.

The CDX Index has snapped a 66-day calm, triggering a tactical risk-off signal for equities amid Big Tech earnings and geopolitical stress. Meanwhile, extreme sentiment washouts in GLD and Hang Seng breadth thrusts offer targeted opportunities.

A quantitative signal combining XLE breadth and crude oil backwardation triggered as energy stocks caught up to rising oil prices. Historical precedents show firmer absolute returns for energy equities, but limited market leadership and mixed forward gains for crude itself.

The Hang Seng Index triggered a massive short-term breadth thrust with over 95% of stocks above their 10-day MA. Backtests confirm a highly constructive medium-term outlook with historical win rates exceeding 80%.

Some market relationships cannot be explained - and are therefore understandably dismissed by many individuals. But under the category of "opportunity is where you find it," consider the curious - and heretofore highly useful - relationship between trader sentiment on Lithium (Yes, Lithium) and gold and stocks, and decide for yourself.

The Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread completed a full cycle from caution to optimism in 75 trading days while the S&P 500 rallied nearly 19%. History shows mixed short-term returns, with a mild positive bias over 3–12 months and sizable two-way volatility.