SentimenTrader Blog


2020-10-23 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

In March, almost all U.S. energy companies had a share price below $5. It hasn't changed much since then. A majority have share prices even below $2. This is beyond any other extreme over the past 20 years.; There has been a sudden and large increase in implied volatility in bond options. While this concerns some investors who worry about this bleeding into the stock market, historically a quick rise in bond volatility has not done so. There was a consistent pattern of the VIX dropping in the months ahead, while stocks rose.

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2020-10-23 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

In March, almost all U.S. energy companies had a share price below $5. It hasn't changed much since then. A majority have share prices even below $2. This is beyond any other extreme over the past 20 years.

Signup / Login to read this post



2020-10-23 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

There has been a sudden and large increase in implied volatility in bond options. While this concerns some investors who worry about this bleeding into the stock market, historically a quick rise in bond volatility has not done so. There was a consistent pattern of the VIX dropping in the months ahead, while stocks rose.

Signup / Login to read this post



2020-10-23 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

For the 1st time in more than 200 days, the yield on 10-year Treasury notes is approaching its 200-day moving average.

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2020-10-23 | Troy Bombardia | Premium



2020-10-22 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Corporate insiders at utility companies have backed off any major selling pressure, a good thing since the prices of many of these stocks continue to recover. After a complete washout as recently as mid-May, now more than 80% of these stocks are above their 200-day moving averages.; The yield on 10-year Treasury notes is nearing its 200-day average for the 1st time in more than 200 days. This has typically not indicated a long-term change in trend, as the relentless bias toward lower rates knee-capped any potential rallies.

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2020-10-22 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Corporate insiders at utility companies have backed off any major selling pressure, a good thing since the prices of many of these stocks continue to recover. After a complete washout as recently as mid-May, now more than 80% of these stocks are above their 200-day moving averages.

Signup / Login to read this post



2020-10-22 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes is nearing its 200-day average for the 1st time in more than 200 days. This has typically not indicated a long-term change in trend, as the relentless bias toward lower rates knee-capped any potential rallies.

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2020-10-22 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

The ratio of gold to copper has dropped to a 6-month low, the 1st time in months that the ratio of "safety" to "economic growth" has hit an extreme.

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2020-10-22 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

The equal-weight S&P 500 has jumped relative to the capitalization-weight version of the index over the past 2 months, and that's usually meant it will continue to do so.

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