As we move into late October/early November, we enter a period that has shown consistently favorable results for the consumer staples sector. How consistently? We present the details in this "short and to the point" piece.
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The Advance/Decline Line for the S&P 500 has broken out to a new multi-year high. Since the inception of the index, a new high in its breadth has been a positive development, with the index showing a much lower probability of a major decline within the next three months.
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Let's review several absolute and relative trend indicators for domestic and international ETFs.
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Margin debt is holding above its 12-month moving average, which has been a good sign for stocks.
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The Average True Range Spread Model for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) registered a new buy signal at the close of trading on 10/22/21. Let's assess the outlook for large-cap stocks.
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This week, we saw a breadth thrust in S&P 500 stocks, with more than 80% of them rising above their 10-day averages. Risk appetite has returned as most indicators show risk-on behavior. Industrial metals have now doubled from their low, which has been bad for them, good for stocks.
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This week, we saw a breadth thrust in S&P 500 stocks, with more than 80% of them rising above their 10-day averages. Risk appetite has returned as most indicators show risk-on behavior. Industrial metals have now doubled from their low, which has been bad for them, good for stocks.
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The trend of NYSE Margin Debt can serve as a useful trend-following indicator. In this piece, we present the details of a straightforward approach to using this data series to assess the likelihood of a bull market.
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The Volatility Index (VIX) closed at a new 18-month low. Let's assess the outlook for the S&P 500.
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Crude oil prices have held above their 10-day moving average for over a month, one of the longest streaks in nearly 40 years.
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Sundial Capital Research is an independent investment research firm dedicated to the application of mass psychology to the financial markets. Sundial publishes the SentimenTrader.com website.
Our focus is not market timing per se, but rather risk management. That may be a distinction without a difference, but it's how we approach the markets. We study signs that suggest it is time to raise or lower market exposure as a function of risk relative to probable reward. It is all about risk-adjusted expectations given existing evidence.
