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There has been a massive spike in speculative activity. Call options volume is hitting records, as is dealers' Gamma Exposure. It's not just options, as activity in penny stocks has also seen a tremendous jump in recent weeks.
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SentimenTrader Minutes Digest for Jan 13 2021 covering: Business owners see less upside
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The Emerging Markets Index (MXEF) recently broke out of a long basing formation accompanied by a surge in new highs and rising LEI's.
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Options offer a relatively inexpensive way to speculate on extreme moves in the market.
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There has been a massive spike in speculative activity. Call options volume is hitting records, as is dealers' Gamma Exposure. It's not just options, as activity in penny stocks has also seen a tremendous jump in recent weeks.
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The U.S. dollar has jumped over the past few sessions, suggesting some short covering by speculators, who have been carrying massive exposure against the dollar. It has also closed above its 20-day average for the first time in months. But neither condition has reliably led to a higher dollar.
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SentimenTrader Minutes Digest for Jan 12 2021 covering: Gold miners see few uptrends; Yields up again
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The U.S. dollar has jumped over the past few sessions, suggesting some short covering by speculators, who have been carrying massive exposure against the dollar. It has also closed above its 20-day average for the first time in months. But neither condition has reliably led to a higher dollar.
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Junk bonds and equities often move in tandem. What if any message can we gain from junk bonds in the current environment?
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>Sundial Capital Research is an independent investment research firm dedicated to the application of mass psychology to the financial markets. Sundial publishes the SentimenTrader.com website.
Our focus is not market timing per se, but rather risk management. That may be a distinction without a difference, but it's how we approach the markets. We study signs that suggest it is time to raise or lower market exposure as a function of risk relative to probable reward. It is all about risk-adjusted expectations given existing evidence.
Speculators in the dollar are holding one of their largest-ever short positions.