SentimenTrader Blog - Page 3


2020-05-27 | Troy Bombardia | Premium



2020-05-26 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The smallest of traders increased their speculative behavior in the options market again last week, spending a near-record amount on call options. But they're also holding a large net short position in index futures. A similar disconnect happened in 2007 and 2017.; The latest figures on consumer confidence for May show that they're feeling increasingly pessimistic about their current situations, but also increasingly positive about their futures. That has had a mixed influence on future stock returns.

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2020-05-26 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The smallest of traders increased their speculative behavior in the options market again last week, spending a near-record amount on call options. But they're also holding a large net short position in index futures. A similar disconnect happened in 2007 and 2017.

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2020-05-26 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

The S&P 500 has been stuck, trading above its 50-day average but below its 200-day average, for over a month.

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2020-05-26 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The latest figures on consumer confidence for May show that they're feeling increasingly pessimistic about their current situations, but also increasingly positive about their futures. That has had a mixed influence on future stock returns.

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2020-05-26 | Jason Goepfert | Premium

Big positive gaps open on the first day of the week have a modest tendency to slip back right away, especially when Monday was a holiday. There was also a tendency for buyers to step back in for another push higher over the next 1-2 weeks.

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2020-05-23 | Jason Goepfert | Premium

This week saw another jump in speculative activity, especially among small options traders. That's worrying, as the rally has flattened out while below the 200-day average on the S&P 500. There were a few positives, though, like the continued recovery in tech shares and Monday's additional breadth thrust.

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2020-05-22 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Every week for the past 12 weeks, investors have pulled money from overseas equity mutual funds and ETFs. It's on a scale now that rivals the worst of the 2008 financial crisis. Domestic funds have seen less outflow on a relative basis.; The S&P 500 has been stuck in a range for a month, above its medium-term 50-day moving average but below its long-term 200-day average. Based on other long streaks of being stuck between time frames, there has been a higher likelihood it will break the streak by falling below its 50-day average. But future returns were weak, no matter which way it broke.

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2020-05-22 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Every week for the past 12 weeks, investors have pulled money from overseas equity mutual funds and ETFs. It's on a scale now that rivals the worst of the 2008 financial crisis. Domestic funds have seen less outflow on a relative basis.

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2020-05-22 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

Over the past few sessions, traders have turned over less than half the number of put options as call options, a sign of optimism.

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