SentimenTrader Blog


2020-07-13 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Last week, the smallest of options traders once again went on a speculative buying binge. Their net speculative activity is the most extreme since 2007, and when premiums are considered, it is by far the most extreme ever. All options traders spent 50% more on bullish strategies than bearish ones, among the highest amounts ever.

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2020-07-13 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

So far in 2020, investors have pushed more than $25 billion into precious metals ETFs, a record high even though we're only halfway through the year.

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2020-07-13 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

As banks and other financials report Q2 earnings this week, they're trying to recover from still-heavy losses year-to-date. The S&P Financials sector is down more than 22%, one of their worst losses this far into a year. After other large losses this far into a year, when they start to report earnings, they have a tendency to show gains relative to the broader market. It should be a good sign that "smart money" hedgers are shorting Treasury notes, too.

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2020-07-11 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

If it seems like tech stocks are making new all-time highs every day, that's because they have. The NASDAQ 100 rallied 24 of the past 30 days.

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2020-07-11 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

China's fear/greed indicator surged to the highest level in years on the backs of strong speculative buying. This is similar to 1992, 2007, and 2015

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2020-07-10 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Again this week, investors yanked money from equity funds. This is the fourth consecutive week, totaling more than $40 billion in outflows.; Investors have been flooding into precious metals funds in 2020, with record inflows. At the same time, they're leaving emerging market equity funds, which are showing the largest year-to-date outflows on record.

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2020-07-10 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Again this week, investors yanked money from equity funds. This is the fourth consecutive week, totaling more than $40 billion in outflows.

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2020-07-10 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Investors have been flooding into precious metals funds in 2020, with record inflows. At the same time, they're leaving emerging market equity funds, which are showing the largest year-to-date outflows on record.

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2020-07-10 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

While major technology stock indexes are hitting new highs, the percentage of those stocks holding above their 50-day averages is falling.

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2020-07-10 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

Going forward I will publish a weekly summary note which highlights what factors are most important to understanding the markets right now. These important factors may stay consistent from time to time (e.g. sentiment is consistently high over the past month), so each weekly summary may have some overlap with the previous one. Stock markets ranging from the U.S. to China have rallied significantly in recent months. The stock market rally (and in particular the nonstop tech rally) has ...

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