Consumer Staples vs. Consumer Discretionary and the Inflation Factor
2021-04-16 | Jay Kaeppel
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What's scaring investors right now
2021-03-17 | Jason Goepfert
The 1-month correlation between the VIX and 10-year yields is the highest it's been in years.
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When rising yields are driving volatility
2021-03-16 | Jason Goepfert
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What this indicator is saying about investors' complacency
2021-02-05 | Jason Goepfert
When investors are comfortable, they trade stocks based on their own merits, so correlations among stocks drop. Like it has lately.
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Investors get comfortable trading stocks on their own merits
2021-02-04 | Jason Goepfert
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A Sell Signal in the Cumulative Advance-Decline Line for the Last Hour of Trading
2021-02-01 | Dean Christians
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Commodities Rising?
2021-01-07 | Jay Kaeppel
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2020 was just like...
2021-01-05 | Jason Goepfert
The year 2020 was unlike any other in many respects, but in terms of the price path during the year, there were 20 years that had a high correlation.
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Investors extrapolate big gains, with high Confidence
2021-01-04 | Jason Goepfert
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Near record uptrends as rally hits the 9-month mark
2020-12-18 | Jason Goepfert
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Even as stocks become more volatile, they're less correlated
2020-11-17 | Jason Goepfert
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Broader market is shaking off the influence of Big Tech
2020-09-22 | Jason Goepfert
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Nasdaq's waning momentum clarifies its analogs
2020-09-11 | Jason Goepfert
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Metals and bonds give different picture as excess liquidity spikes
2020-09-10 | Jason Goepfert
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If the Nasdaq is peaking, it should look like this
2020-09-04 | Jason Goepfert
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The S&P 500 is becoming uncorrelated with its own members
2020-09-03 | Jason Goepfert
The S&P 500 is being driven by relatively few stocks, enough so that over the past month, it is becoming uncorrelated to its own Advance/Decline Line.
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The S&P 500 is uncorrelated with...itself
2020-09-02 | Jason Goepfert
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Gold's price path has looked like this about a dozen times before
2020-08-19 | Jason Goepfert
The past 100 days in gold have seen a remarkable run, but there have been about a dozen times that look very similar. Same with its correlation to tech stocks.
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Gold's analogs and its tight correlation with tech stocks
2020-08-18 | Jason Goepfert
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The last 100 days are the most like...1970?
2020-08-17 | Jason Goepfert
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Stocks have uncoupled from the dollar
2020-06-26 | Jason Goepfert
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Australian dollar vs. U.S. equities
2020-05-20 | Troy Bombardia
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Let's assume the worst
2020-03-12 | Jason Goepfert
If we assume the worst, that we're in a bear market and recession, we can see the average path. Fewer than 15% of small caps are in uptrends.
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Dollar momentum isn't stopping gold
2020-02-20 | Jason Goepfert
The correlation between gold and the dollar is breaking down. The Relative Strength Index for the dollar has now pushed into extreme territory.
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Options traders spend billions betting that this rally won't end
2020-02-19 | Jason Goepfert
Each of the past two weeks, options traders have spent at least $7 billion in bets on a rally. The Nasdaq's correlation to 1999 isn't exclusive.
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5 Trades Show Flight-To-Safety
2019-10-25 | Jason Goepfert
This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.A concerted flight to safetyLooking at a handful of different flight-to-safety trades, it’s evident that there has been a lot of risk-off positioning in ...
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What I'm looking at - correlations, Fidelity Funds Breadth, KBW Bank Index, SPY Liquidity Premium, Value
2019-10-23 | Troy Bombardia
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Junk Bond's Warning Sign
2019-10-15 | Jason Goepfert
This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Bond market warningStocks have held up well lately, more or less, but high-yield (junk) bonds are under-performing relative to other parts of the corporate ...
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Consumers haven't been this depressed in 8 years
2019-09-30 | Jason Goepfert
This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Consumers’ concernsThis month, U.S. consumers decided that the economy was headed for a rough patch and stocks were likely to follow. To the greatest extent ...
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What I'm looking at - stocks vs. politics, nonstop utilities surge, global money supply, Bitcoin's crash
2019-09-27 | Troy Bombardia
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Stocks and the dollar are "joined at the pip"
2019-09-26 | Jason Goepfert
This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Joined at the pipThere usually isn’t much of a correlation between movement in stocks and the dollar. As much as investors want to assign a narrative linking ...
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Gold/Dollar correlation turns positive
2019-09-17 | Jason Goepfert
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Tuesday Color - Big Managers Get Bullish, Gold/Dollar Correlation Spike, Repo Rate, Volatility Premium
2019-09-17 | Jason Goepfert
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