Posts tagged as Correlations

Consumer Staples vs. Consumer Discretionary and the Inflation Factor

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What's scaring investors right now

The 1-month correlation between the VIX and 10-year yields is the highest it's been in years.

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When rising yields are driving volatility

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What this indicator is saying about investors' complacency

When investors are comfortable, they trade stocks based on their own merits, so correlations among stocks drop. Like it has lately.

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Investors get comfortable trading stocks on their own merits

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A Sell Signal in the Cumulative Advance-Decline Line for the Last Hour of Trading

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Commodities Rising?

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2020 was just like...

The year 2020 was unlike any other in many respects, but in terms of the price path during the year, there were 20 years that had a high correlation.

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Investors extrapolate big gains, with high Confidence

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Near record uptrends as rally hits the 9-month mark

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Even as stocks become more volatile, they're less correlated

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Broader market is shaking off the influence of Big Tech

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Nasdaq's waning momentum clarifies its analogs

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Metals and bonds give different picture as excess liquidity spikes

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If the Nasdaq is peaking, it should look like this

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The S&P 500 is becoming uncorrelated with its own members

The S&P 500 is being driven by relatively few stocks, enough so that over the past month, it is becoming uncorrelated to its own Advance/Decline Line.

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The S&P 500 is uncorrelated with...itself

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Gold's price path has looked like this about a dozen times before

The past 100 days in gold have seen a remarkable run, but there have been about a dozen times that look very similar. Same with its correlation to tech stocks.

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Gold's analogs and its tight correlation with tech stocks

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The last 100 days are the most like...1970?

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Stocks have uncoupled from the dollar

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Australian dollar vs. U.S. equities

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Let's assume the worst

If we assume the worst, that we're in a bear market and recession, we can see the average path. Fewer than 15% of small caps are in uptrends.

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Dollar momentum isn't stopping gold

The correlation between gold and the dollar is breaking down. The Relative Strength Index for the dollar has now pushed into extreme territory.

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Options traders spend billions betting that this rally won't end

Each of the past two weeks, options traders have spent at least $7 billion in bets on a rally. The Nasdaq's correlation to 1999 isn't exclusive.

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5 Trades Show Flight-To-Safety

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.A concerted flight to safetyLooking at a handful of different flight-to-safety trades, it’s evident that there has been a lot of risk-off positioning in ...

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What I'm looking at - correlations, Fidelity Funds Breadth, KBW Bank Index, SPY Liquidity Premium, Value

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Junk Bond's Warning Sign

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Bond market warningStocks have held up well lately, more or less, but high-yield (junk) bonds are under-performing relative to other parts of the corporate ...

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Consumers haven't been this depressed in 8 years

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Consumers’ concernsThis month, U.S. consumers decided that the economy was headed for a rough patch and stocks were likely to follow. To the greatest extent ...

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What I'm looking at - stocks vs. politics, nonstop utilities surge, global money supply, Bitcoin's crash

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Stocks and the dollar are "joined at the pip"

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Joined at the pipThere usually isn’t much of a correlation between movement in stocks and the dollar. As much as investors want to assign a narrative linking ...

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Gold/Dollar correlation turns positive

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Tuesday Color - Big Managers Get Bullish, Gold/Dollar Correlation Spike, Repo Rate, Volatility Premium

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