Posts tagged as Currencies

U.S. Dollar at the Price/Seasonality Crossroads

The U.S. dollar appears to be at a crossroads. While price action is purported to be setting up for a rally, seasonal history suggests otherwise. Given the global importance of the U.S. dollar, a lot is hanging in the balance.

Read More ...

---

A Yen for the Yen

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Weekly Wrap for Jun 25 - Some Internal Divergences, A Dollar Pain Trade

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Warning: The Dollar's 'Pain 'Trade' is Higher

Hedge funds, and others, appear to have heavy short exposure to the dollar. Similar behavior preceded multi-month dollar rallies.

Read More ...

---

The Dollar Pain Trade

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Weekly Wrap for Jun 4 - Risk Appetite Rebounds

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

3 Reasons to be Concerned About Bitcoin's Prospects

A measure of volatility for bitcoin, using a synthetic VIX, shows one of the largest spikes in its history.

Read More ...

---

Why Bitcoin's Volatility is Not a Good Sign

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

When Gold Meets Japan (Part II)

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

A Possible Respite for the Dollar in May

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Weekly Wrap for Apr 9 - Still no divergence warnings

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

It's hard to find pessimism, except in this one market

Among market markets, only one is showing even modest amounts of pessimism, and that's the Japanese yen.

Read More ...

---

In an optimistic market, the yen stands out

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Spring Dollar Doldrums

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

The Pound Rebound

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Crypto is getting a little crowded

According to a monthly survey of big money managers, being long bitcoin was voted as the most crowded trade.

Read More ...

---

Hedge funds are shorting the dollar like crazy

Speculators in the dollar are holding one of their largest-ever short positions.

Read More ...

---

Short covering in the dollar as the trend turns

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Commodities Rising?

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

The Ugly History of the British Pound in Q1

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

As small stocks (almost) double, optimism peaks

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Smart money turns negative on the buck

For the first time in months, "smart money" commercial hedgers went net short the U.S. dollar.

Read More ...

---

Smart money turns negative on the dollar

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

The dollar's trend seems to be turning, but...

For the 1st time in months, the U.S. dollar has managed to rise above its 50-day moving average.

Read More ...

---

The dollar ends its medium-term downtrend amid sour sentiment

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

USD's rally

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

USD sentiment is retreating from extreme readings

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Metals and bonds give different picture as excess liquidity spikes

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Dollar falls into correction for the first time in years

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

The start of a dollar rally?

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

USD bearish positioning

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

One of the dollar's worst months ever

July was one of the worst months ever for the U.S. dollar, falling several percent while hitting a multi-year low.

Read More ...

---

The dollar's largest monthly losses

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Extremely low U.S. Dollar exposure

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Precious metals and USD sentiment

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

USD weakness

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Weakening dollar

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Stocks have uncoupled from the dollar

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Dollar is falling in a risk-on environment

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

USD dropped to a 2 month low after a large spike

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Sentiment recovers amid an economic plunge

Our proxy of the CNN Fear & Greed model has recovered into neutral from deep pessimism. Economic surprises have plunged, not good for the dollar.

Read More ...

---

Economic surprises suffer historic plunge

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

No need for a safe haven?

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

No safe havens

The bond market is seeing wild swings, which we see during times of extreme duress. The dollar has spiked to one of the largest degrees ever.

Read More ...

---

What I'm looking at - ZEW, yield curve, USD spike, S&P's intraday range, commodities collapse

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Tech, dollar suffer selling "shocks"

The Nasdaq Composite suffered a 2 standard deviation loss, soon after hitting an all-time high. The U.S. dollar suffered a shocking loss, too.

Read More ...

---

What I'm looking at - breadth warnings, USD's drop, gold's rally

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Dollar momentum isn't stopping gold

The correlation between gold and the dollar is breaking down. The Relative Strength Index for the dollar has now pushed into extreme territory.

Read More ...

---

What I'm looking at - Building Permits, USD, MACD buy signals

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - tech correlations, everything rally, utilities, USD

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - standard deviations, tech breadth, relative strength, USD

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Options Traders Are Leveraged After A Good Year-End

After a good end to the year, stocks often struggle, and options traders are leveraged and bullish, with the U.S. dollar breaking down

Read More ...

---

What I'm looking at: breadth thrusts, financial conditions, USD, copper

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - AIM, yield curve steepening, Macro Index, Initial Claims, emerging market currencies

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - 2019 vs 2018, equity Put/Call, Value Line, breadth surge, AUD

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - Smart Money, USD breakdown, ZEW, microcaps, growth & tech index

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - SKEW, gold's year, copper breakout, Pound, palm oil

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - Industrial Production, housing's comeback, VVIX, U.S. Dollar drop, loans

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Junk Bond's Warning Sign

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Bond market warningStocks have held up well lately, more or less, but high-yield (junk) bonds are under-performing relative to other parts of the corporate ...

Read More ...

---

What I'm looking at - dividend yields, gold & USD, wholesalers' sales, oil positioning, 50 dma breadth.

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - VIX Put/Call, ISM vs S&P, USD trend, small cap earnings

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Tuesday Color - ISM plunge, currency flight to safety, eurozone surprises

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Monday Color - Small traders, dollar sellers, S&P momentum, quarterly run, energy bonds

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Consumers haven't been this depressed in 8 years

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Consumers’ concernsThis month, U.S. consumers decided that the economy was headed for a rough patch and stocks were likely to follow. To the greatest extent ...

Read More ...

---

Stocks and the dollar are "joined at the pip"

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Joined at the pipThere usually isn’t much of a correlation between movement in stocks and the dollar. As much as investors want to assign a narrative linking ...

Read More ...

---

Small options traders bought this much protection only 3 times in 20 years

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Small traders being testedThe smallest of options traders keep buying a large amount of put options. Over the past 6 weeks, they’ve spent more than 24% of ...

Read More ...

---

Friday Color - Equity Outflow, Breadth High, Oscillator Extremes, Mexico Rebound, Dollar Pain

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

What I'm looking at - DAX, Put/Call, all-or-nothing, gold:silver ratio, AUDUSD

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Gold Beats Stocks' Double-Digit Jump

This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Rising and falling togetherThe major sectors within the S&P 500 have mostly been moving in concert, so correlations have risen quickly over the past month. ...

Read More ...

---

Wednesday Color - Curve, Fund Managers, Gold & Yen, 1% Moves, Skew

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Tuesday Color - Gold vs Yen, Russell Lag, S&P Divergence, Mexican Breadth, Smart Money Selling

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Wednesday Color - Quiet, Fed Talk, Pound, Copper, Bond Optimism

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

1/2 Of Bitcoin Bubble Signals Have Triggered

Bitcoin bubble babbleSentiment on bitcoin is jumping, but is below other euphoric peaks. Barely half of “bubble” signals have triggered, unlike past peaks when 100% of them did.By the time sentiment reached its current level, the coin typically took off on a last gasp buying frenzy, notching ...

Read More ...

---

Monday Color - Easy Conditions, Canadian Surprises, Gold Rush, Sector Breadth

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

The Everything Rally

The everything rallyTotal return stock and bond indexes are hitting all-time highs at the same time. They cover an array of stocks and bonds, suggesting extreme breadth of buying interest, as noted by Bloomberg.When they’ve all hit records together, it has been an especially good longer-term ...

Read More ...

---

Friday Color - Massive Flows, Dollar Trend, Stock/Bond Rally, Whiplash, Sector Highs

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Thursday Color - Bond Moves, Yield Curve, Jobs, REITs & Utes, New Highs, Mexico

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Wednesday Color - Gaps, Tuesday's Jump, Breadth Recovery, Bitcoin, Corn

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Friday Color - More Gaps, Peso, Outflows, Bond Binge

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Tuesday Midday Color - Shanghai, , DAX, Bond Bulls, Euro Sentiment

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

5 Signs Of Anxiety

Anxiety signalWhile stocks have struggled, bonds and the dollar have both been rising. Whether one is helping the other is beside the point – primarily it suggests nervousness on the part of investors.When those two markets have behaved like this over the past 40+ years, stocks have usually ...

Read More ...

---

Tech Tour De Force, Even With Big Money On Sidelines

A tech tour de forceThe tech sector has been on a record run over the past 18 weeks.Going back 93 years, the only other time it had a run like this was in June 1957. There were slightly lesser streaks, including near the peak of the bubble years in 2000 and prior to the 1987 crash. While not a ...

Read More ...

---

Monday Midday Color - Cranky Calls, Big Breadth, Can't-Miss Swiss

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Hedge Funds Just Won't Buy

Hesitant hedgiesHedge funds have not been buying this massive rally. Across different hedge fund strategies, there is very little, or even negative, correlation to the movement in stocks, suggesting they are under-invested or even betting against the rally.This is unusual, though it did happen ...

Read More ...

---

Thursday Midday Color - Dollar Bets, Big Breadth, Twitter Junk

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Tuesday Midday Color - S&P Recovery, Pound Probabilities, Mixed Breadth

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Tuesday Midday Color

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Friday Midday Color

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

An Important Shanghai Rally Amid Terrible Economic Surprises

An important thresholdWhen big rallies in the Shanghai Composite failed, fewer than 90% of stocks on the exchange had managed to rise above their 200-day averages. When more than 90% did so, the rallies lasted long-term, at least over the past 17 years. That just happened again.It’s also been a ...

Read More ...

---

Economic Surprises Bad For Dollar

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Monday Midday Color

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Dollar Fails And Transports Keep Lagging

Dollar failureThe U.S. dollar hit a new high in early March, and optimism was high. That proved to be a headwind again, and the buck has since reversed to close at a 30-day low.This is an unusually quick reversal and quick reversals in the dollar like this have been a negative sign. During the ...

Read More ...

---

Dollar Reverses From 52-Week High

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Retail Investor Confusion As The Vol Trade And Bitcoin Roll

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Breadth Thrust In Euro Stocks

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

King Dollar

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Knee-Jerk Election Patterns

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

Big Currency Declines

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

US Dollar Reversals Show A Mixed Record

One of the big stories today is in the US Dollar, which is reversing strongly from what had been a new 52-week low:That looks great on a chart, and sentiment on the dollar is poor. Traders in the Rydex family of mutual funds are among the least-invested in a strong dollar in years:That's helping ...

Read More ...

---

Quick COT Update

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

US Dollar Suffers Major Loss

This post is available to SentimenTrader members and/or Premium members only.

Please login to to view this content

---

next page →